CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c0a2aea28ba37b62e7461a007d982ada3be25d38157d336a338817c66bf7a6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, HOTU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $493,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $594,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $493,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed HOTU | 29c | 166,920$47,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,860.88 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 46,806$32,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,041.69 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 42,800$29,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,840 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 40,273$28,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,681.96 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 40,000$28,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,600 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked HOTU | 30c | 31,949$9,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,579.91 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed HOTU | 30c | 31,933$9,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,580 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 30,000$21,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,100 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed HOTU | 7c | 13,024$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.78 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 9,742$7,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.88 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f6…4814backed HOTU | 30c | 7,262$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.73 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -31%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 6,196$4,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.24 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 6,000$4,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 5,830$4,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.94 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 4,135$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.35 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 3,952$2,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.06 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 3,683$2,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.98 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed HOTU | 27c | 3,606$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.43 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 3,491$2,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.03 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 2,970$2,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.65 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked HOTU | 26c | 2,949$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.62 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 2,599$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.65 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked HOTU | 30c | 1,919$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.29 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59c…4da7backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 1,702$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.26 | 152 | 64.5%98 W · 54 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 1,500$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…d034backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 1,500$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked HOTU | 28c | 1,492$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.59 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HOTU | 18c | 1,456$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 1,420$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.16 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 1,420$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.09 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…8cf6backed HOTU | 28c | 1,371$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.59 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HOTU | 11c | 1,287$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.17 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked HOTU | 22c | 1,283$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.01 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 1,275$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.37 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 1,260$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.4 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4888…c7d3backed HOTU | 22c | 1,250$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed HOTU | 25c | 1,222$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.5 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed HOTU | 8c | 1,210$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.47 | 278 | 31.7%88 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed HOTU | 10c | 1,063$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.31 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7eb…bfbfbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 1,002$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.59 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56bd…e58dbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 999.98$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 993.66$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.29 | 409 | 50.6%207 W · 202 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked HOTU | 23c | 992.08$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.18 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed HOTU | 24c | 974.38$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.67 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 971.1$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.49 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…fce6backed HOTU | 20c | 957.45$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.39 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed HOTU | 21c | 953.48$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.09 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 872.55$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.04 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce2…9787backed HOTU | 2c | 847.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 796.9$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.95 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed HOTU | 23c | 782.49$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.63 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -15.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked HOTU | 20c | 769.98$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.8 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 756.59$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.15 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked HOTU | 18c | 742.43$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.21 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 739.32$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.22 | 410 | 69.3%284 W · 126 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed HOTU | 15c | 733$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.95 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HOTU | 21c | 718.31$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.89 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed HOTU | 15c | 695.93$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.39 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 690.02$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.5 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7a…87c7backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 686.31$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed HOTU | 25c | 657.76$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.44 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed HOTU | 24c | 616.62$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.58 | 203 | 44.3%90 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…dd1ebacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 609.12$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.8 | 399 | 70.7%282 W · 117 L | +38.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked HOTU | 17c | 581.27$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.21 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 570.32$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.56 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417f…f97bbacked HOTU | 21c | 550.35$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.8 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x626e…0bfebacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 545.04$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.97 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed HOTU | 27c | 534.42$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.19 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd6…e33abacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 512.31$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.83 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…2171backed HOTU | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed52…2dbdbacked HOTU | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 493.76$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.41 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked HOTU | 28c | 493.11$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.94 | 354 | 49.7%176 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked HOTU | 20c | 476$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c9…131cbacked HOTU | 19c | 421.92$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.16 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 420.72$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.69 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed HOTU | 23c | 414.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…59a1backed HOTU | 28c | 414.68$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.79 | 192 | 38%73 W · 119 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked HOTU | 19c | 399.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 399.08$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.76 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked HOTU | 8c | 394.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47d2…662abacked HOTU | 13c | 361.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed HOTU | 28c | 351.26$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.35 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed HOTU | 28c | 348.83$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.42 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked HOTU | 28c | 348.83$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.42 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…44adbacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 345.38$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.98 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2913…d241backed HOTU | 27c | 342.57$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.44 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked HOTU | 28c | 339.39$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed HOTU | 16c | 327.22$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed HOTU | 34c | 314.06$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.62 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed HOTU | 15c | 307.26$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 304.73$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 303.65$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked HOTU | 22c | 299.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…f72bbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 296.85$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 319 | 50.5%161 W · 158 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed HOTU | 25c | 280.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.17 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…27c3backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 279.05$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.98 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group BNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.