CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba6ae00f56a4f7f0e9283338ac44f6af73668455c70758fa7ada5485db3fe754
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, HOTU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $490,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $552,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $490,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed HOTU | 22c | 158,160$34,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,070.1 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 50,000$39,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,500 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked HOTU | 14c | 44,804$6,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,194.84 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 33,861$25,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,004.21 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…1485backed HOTU | 18c | 22,231$3,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,941.46 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked HOTU | 21c | 21,319$4,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,404.93 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed HOTU | 20c | 11,260$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250.46 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 7,038$5,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.24 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed HOTU | 19c | 4,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed HOTU | 17c | 3,750$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.5 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…d034backed HOTU | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed HOTU | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HOTU | 14c | 2,419$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.54 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked HOTU | 18c | 2,300$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked HOTU | 14c | 2,250$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.5 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed HOTU | 16c | 2,218$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.85 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked HOTU | 19c | 1,977$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.7 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed HOTU | 16c | 1,822$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.52 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09a0…dc24backed HOTU | 18c | 1,591$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.4 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…415abacked HOTU | 17c | 1,511$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed HOTU | 10c | 1,460$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.46 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed HOTU | 18c | 1,362$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.16 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed HOTU | 10c | 1,340$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.43 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed HOTU | 15c | 1,298$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.65 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7ce0backed HOTU | 10c | 1,116$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.63 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 1,060$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.31 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f9…db30backed HOTU | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked HOTU | 4c | 999.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 215 | 19.1%41 W · 174 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 980.5$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.93 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked HOTU | 19c | 972.72$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.4 | 92 | 32.6%30 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 955.64$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.24 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed HOTU | 17c | 950.2$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.53 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked HOTU | 17c | 930.1$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.12 | 409 | 50.6%207 W · 202 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked HOTU | 15c | 911.95$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.56 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed HOTU | 19c | 904.05$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.24 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 731.18$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.17 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 708.09$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.78 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 600$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked HOTU | 17c | 566.32$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.27 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed HOTU | 22c | 550$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 541.4$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.87 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed HOTU | 18c | 524.4$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.41 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 514.49$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.05 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 474.42$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.37 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 400$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed HOTU | 17c | 393.38$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…00a5backed HOTU | 13c | 390.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417f…f97bbacked HOTU | 19c | 383.08$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.21 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…c312backed HOTU | 17c | 372.51$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked HOTU | 13c | 355.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 268 | 36.6%98 W · 170 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 350.54$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.62 | 223 | 65%145 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed HOTU | 15c | 336.4$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed HOTU | 22c | 321.97$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.83 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 318.55$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.08 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 318.55$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.08 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 318.55$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.08 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 318.55$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.08 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0368…e741backed HOTU | 5c | 317.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked HOTU | 14c | 314.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed HOTU | 6c | 314.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked HOTU | 10c | 302.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 354 | 49.7%176 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed HOTU | 7c | 299.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed HOTU | 16c | 295.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked HOTU | 16c | 293.95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed HOTU | 14c | 272.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed HOTU | 17c | 265.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed HOTU | 13c | 260.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 256.16$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 253.03$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 253.03$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae06…be4dbacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked HOTU | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed HOTU | 20c | 242$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed HOTU | 12c | 236.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7e…8301backed HOTU | 14c | 225.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…67ebbacked HOTU | 27c | 213.88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.37 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffdc…ce87backed HOTU | 17c | 210.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f79…abbbbacked HOTU | 6c | 199.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed HOTU | 11c | 199.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed HOTU | 19c | 190.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed HOTU | 15c | 189.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 185$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed HOTU | 18c | 183.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed HOTU | 17c | 182.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked HOTU | 16c | 174.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HOTU | 11c | 171.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12b…b5edbacked HOTU | 12c | 154.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed HOTU | 15c | 150.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…63f3backed HOTU | 19c | 148.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 108 | 56.5%61 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed HOTU | 17c | 135.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 132$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 618 | 37.9%234 W · 384 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed HOTU | 22c | 128.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed HOTU | 17c | 127.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 126.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 126.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 126.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 230 | 56.1%129 W · 101 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 126.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f7…7714backed HOTU | 19c | 125.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 190 | 48.9%93 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…3f5fbacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 123$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 236 | 53.4%126 W · 110 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd969…b08bbacked HOTU | 11c | 117.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -10.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group BNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.