TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x00da…e786

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 52 out of 100; worst UFC at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+261%+$56.47
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.88
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.79
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+700.1%+$93.2
Wizards vs. Cavaliersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.07
Hornets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.48
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.09
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$48.98
Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$145.07
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-46%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wuning 2: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Leo Vithoontienbacked Leo Vithoontien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.28
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Katie Boulter vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$11.3
Tallahassee: Alex Rybakov vs Pedro Boscardin Diasbacked Pedro Boscardin Dias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+218.5%+$22.17
Barcelona Open: Rafael Jodar vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.36
Barcelona Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.11
Busan: Rio Noguchi vs Coleman Wongbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.67
BMW Open: Zizou Bergs vs Marko Topobacked Marko Topo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.68
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.79
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.81
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+63.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+226.5%+$23.29
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$51.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$148
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Azamat Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.