TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Knicks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Hornets, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,567,860
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,717,044

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,567,860 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 566 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Knicks12c469,259$57,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,652.672648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Knicks27c63,215$17,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,254.31,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Knicks13c50,000$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,499.9827424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Knicks4c26,148$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.641,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Knicks19c22,255$4,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,130.4720744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Knicks25c21,734$5,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,388.23259.4%19 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd41a…fd60backed Knicks15c18,501$2,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,815.313148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Knicks17c11,242$1,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,936.5621350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd21…a494backed Knicks16c10,984$1,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,707.55246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Knicks14c8,129$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.0824831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Hornets65c7,743$5,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,709.7929250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Knicks1c6,746$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0834136.1%123 W · 218 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31cb…a34bbacked Hornets72c6,630$4,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,856.452445.8%11 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-17%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Knicks12c6,301$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.141,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Hornets76c6,197$4,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,505.0232540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Hornets54c5,946$3,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,725.735547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Hornets67c5,876$3,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,939.181,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14cc…7c02backed Hornets53c5,149$2,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,433.6613842.8%59 W · 79 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Knicks13c5,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6504548.9%22 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Knicks13c5,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65019937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1ce…3b06backed Knicks14c4,985$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.93225%8 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-40%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Hornets75c4,925$3,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.2537448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Knicks5c4,569$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.1125226.6%67 W · 185 L-26.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Hornets69c4,442$3,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.9876249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf21…7e3dbacked Knicks32c4,153$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.415952.5%31 W · 28 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Knicks13c4,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Knicks13c4,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52058740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Knicks25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x269c…9017backed Knicks30c3,841$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.628953.9%48 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Knicks14c3,794$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.138434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26a6…dedebacked Knicks5c3,519$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.465626.8%15 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Knicks15c3,505$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.713,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Hornets77c3,468$2,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.7436359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Knicks10c3,384$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.591,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Knicks13c3,288$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.4186641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Knicks3c3,218$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1636023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Hornets52c3,026$1,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.3639349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Knicks14c2,987$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.241,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdce…cd62backed Knicks12c2,944$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.0930%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Knicks10c2,885$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.4833139.3%130 W · 201 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76b1…f2e9backed Knicks0c2,881$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Knicks43c2,798$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.611,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Knicks26c2,731$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.2660944.8%273 W · 336 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Knicks6c2,720$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.561,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe74d…22fdbacked Knicks5c2,710$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.7740%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc93c…3c93backed Knicks18c2,600$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Knicks29c2,525$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.674528.9%13 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Knicks17c2,417$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.8617144.4%76 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x697f…8705backed Knicks14c2,386$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.0130%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Knicks22c2,126$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.4313547.4%64 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90bf…99ebbacked Hornets72c2,084$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.457353.4%39 W · 34 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Knicks13c2,013$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.434953.1%26 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Knicks28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56078445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Knicks18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3603441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Hornets71c2,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.745446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55d7…e99cbacked Knicks5c1,886$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1acc…8fe0backed Hornets69c1,842$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.118043.9%79 W · 101 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8890…cefbbacked Hornets54c1,803$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.1914446.5%67 W · 77 L-0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f67…eaa6backed Knicks22c1,782$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.67333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf437…ff9bbacked Knicks19c1,763$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.12030%6 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-37.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f9f…2cb8backed Knicks28c1,705$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.447545.3%34 W · 41 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Knicks14c1,694$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.122036.8%81 W · 139 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Knicks14c1,694$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.146632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b02…b95fbacked Hornets76c1,689$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.7911766.7%78 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Knicks4c1,684$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9218941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Knicks35c1,555$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.958344.6%37 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Knicks13c1,552$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.611040%44 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0702…017ebacked Knicks31c1,546$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.31942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+112.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fa6…419ebacked Knicks14c1,510$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.41442.9%6 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Hornets78c1,480$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.648951.7%46 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Hornets75c1,477$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.7724247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc741…a270backed Knicks17c1,465$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.093834.2%13 W · 25 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+36.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Knicks7c1,452$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.384214.3%6 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-68%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Knicks13c1,432$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.128846.6%41 W · 47 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Knicks13c1,408$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.8149852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed Hornets76c1,388$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.311266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc4…a439backed Hornets59c1,370$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.3219547.2%92 W · 103 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Knicks16c1,311$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.2923435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Knicks2c1,259$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.177211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02ca…30f9backed Knicks27c1,202$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.613153.4%70 W · 61 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1089…830ebacked Knicks16c1,181$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.974533.3%15 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-15.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Hornets70c1,178$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.5328649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1319…b15abacked Knicks31c1,169$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.332231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ce2…0ac2backed Knicks7c1,161$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.112025%5 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-48.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Hornets71c1,158$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.630157.1%172 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88bc…8235backed Knicks2c1,157$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.184731.9%15 W · 32 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick25cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1da9…13ecbacked Knicks31c1,082$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.51728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Knicks6c1,072$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4761638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbcc…edc9backed Hornets75c1,058$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.7646348.4%224 W · 239 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Hornets70c1,046$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.8371449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Hornets71c1,024$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.9913138.2%50 W · 81 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked Knicks13c1,019$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.412520%5 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-49.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeae5…0720backed Knicks15c1,015$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.271338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+33.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Knicks15c1,005$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.8515740.8%64 W · 93 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Knicks3c1,005$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.672,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks2c1,004$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0193148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc210…eee3backed Knicks13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302913.8%4 W · 25 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Knicks13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302441.7%10 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick29cpaid+42.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d98…53c4backed Knicks3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e43…5a67backed Knicks15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.