NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf91c4c2073ae9d08c947ac787d69ed8d2b56821c106df56deee4bf372a8a3bfa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 4,863$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.28 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 2,864$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.14 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 46c | 2,849$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.65 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 49c | 2,040$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 51c | 1,566$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.1 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 50c | 1,426$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.9 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 38c | 960.43$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.72 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 32c | 861.38$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.38 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 63c | 833.04$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.19 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 71c | 484.54$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.31 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under | 69c | 482.82$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.11 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 402.7$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.37 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 31c | 377.9$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.7 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 11c | 345.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 72c | 341.39$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.59 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 64c | 285.48$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.15 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…656dbacked Over | 48c | 280.95$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.86 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -7.6wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Over | 47c | 232.71$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.78 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 49c | 226.1$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.32 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…df72backed Over | 34c | 210.11$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.07 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13b0…2f69backed Over | 47c | 207.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 48c | 195.81$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.7 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 63c | 178.41$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.19 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 176.32$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 44c | 168.71$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.23 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 62c | 103.93$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 47c | 101.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 53c | 90.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 62c | 89.37$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Under | 53c | 77.21$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 50c | 66.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Under | 52c | 64.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 462 | 55.6%257 W · 205 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 62c | 57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 272 | 45.6%124 W · 148 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Over | 48c | 52.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Under | 61c | 50.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 73 | 82.2%60 W · 13 L | +18.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 49c | 44.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5367…dfc1backed Under | 54c | 39.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…0d7cbacked Over | 47c | 38.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71a…f135backed Under | 65c | 34.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 49c | 32.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 31.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 53c | 31.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Under | 53c | 30.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Under | 53c | 29.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9502…7878backed Under | 72c | 27.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ee…0f22backed Under | 51c | 23.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 387 | 36.4%141 W · 246 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Over | 51c | 22.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 64c | 19.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Under | 54c | 19.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-7.5)Hornets won
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-8.5)Hornets won
- Hornets vs. KnicksHornets won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Under won
- Spread: Hornets (-10.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-11.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-12.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-13.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-14.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Hornets (-7.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-8.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.