NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee2b541e4182f21564536241a5276353d257586dc2928383544f9610af0612a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 10,626$5,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,313.11 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 8,803$4,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,319.9 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 5,380$2,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.95 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 2,484$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.32 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…6312backed Under | 47c | 1,355$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.4 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 39c | 1,261$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.78 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 61c | 1,160$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.55 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 48c | 970.74$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.95 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 53c | 945$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.85 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 49c | 531.37$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.87 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 49c | 404.76$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.43 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 367.09$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.55 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 50c | 360$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 48c | 357.41$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.61 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 38c | 320.77$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.19 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 48c | 215.68$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.53 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf0…21efbacked Over | 51c | 207.44$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.8 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Over | 50c | 194.76$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.38 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 40c | 191.62$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.65 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d43…86e7backed Over | 51c | 183.52$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.59 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 31c | 173.05$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.79 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…df72backed Over | 33c | 145.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 67c | 142.98$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.18 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Under | 52c | 124.2$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.61 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f47…6397backed Under | 65c | 123.25$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Over | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…590ebacked Over | 49c | 118.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Under | 44c | 103.4$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 49c | 96.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 94.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…47f4backed Over | 31c | 87.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 52c | 85.27$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.93 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Over | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 45c | 73.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 40c | 60.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Under | 68c | 43.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…c307backed Under | 52c | 37.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Over | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Over | 50c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec3…2c88backed Under | 51c | 30.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 40c | 26.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 50c | 24.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Under | 72c | 20.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-7.5)Hornets won
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-8.5)Hornets won
- Hornets vs. KnicksHornets won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Under won
- Spread: Hornets (-10.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-11.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-12.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-13.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-14.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Hornets (-7.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-8.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.