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NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hornets (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Hornets, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$322,582
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$380,587

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $322,582 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Hornets53c88,012$46,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,365.6811457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Knicks46c80,615$37,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,208.187144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Knicks47c75,555$35,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,710.8372648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Hornets55c44,369$24,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,046.2436549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Hornets53c18,781$9,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,827.2221350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Knicks48c10,941$5,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,251.491,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Knicks46c9,442$4,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,343.411,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ec1…057cbacked Hornets53c9,167$4,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,308.663946.2%18 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Hornets53c8,766$4,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,120.151,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa93…5c47backed Hornets52c7,674$3,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,683.69540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks46c7,137$3,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,266.469,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Knicks47c7,000$3,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2904548.9%22 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Knicks51c5,824$2,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,967.181,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hornets48c5,625$2,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,910.832,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks47c5,339$2,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,509.46,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Hornets52c4,327$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,077.0914441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets52c4,093$2,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,982.414,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Hornets52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.9619747.7%94 W · 103 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Knicks48c3,875$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,860.179549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Hornets52c3,392$1,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,625.9719359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Hornets51c2,983$1,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.183,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Hornets52c2,628$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.3138750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Hornets60c2,559$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.242,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Knicks46c2,467$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.9156843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Hornets50c2,246$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.991,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Hornets50c2,077$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.344337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd307…f4d1backed Hornets60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8001442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Hornets52c1,776$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.5618343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Knicks47c1,625$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.916144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae51…0d08backed Hornets53c1,600$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.865639.3%22 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks47c1,461$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.714,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks47c1,460$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.621,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Knicks51c1,375$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.5389850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Knicks53c1,282$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.3148845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Hornets52c1,203$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.655345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Hornets52c1,127$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.7316946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Knicks49c1,066$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.517349.3%36 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Hornets55c1,061$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.6589050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Hornets54c900.37$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.1728554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Hornets54c900.37$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.1735650%178 W · 178 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Hornets54c895.74$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.459455.3%52 W · 42 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Knicks46c871.2$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.7520051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Knicks47c863.57$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.5557950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Hornets54c828.17$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.651,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Knicks1c800$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10802.5%2 W · 78 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-88.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6334…1a91backed Knicks50c776$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Hornets52c747.08$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.612542.4%53 W · 72 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Hornets54c691.06$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.1793148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Knicks47c499.99$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.9949345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Hornets54c450.49$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.459140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Hornets55c443$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.8910050%50 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ef9…ef4ebacked Knicks48c423.85$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.45450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52a5…750dbacked Knicks48c403.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.761145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f73…6d1cbacked Knicks48c403.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.761560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Knicks48c399.99$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1921,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Knicks48c397.06$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.551753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Knicks50c369.45$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.721,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Knicks50c368.86$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.7319254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Hornets53c366.72$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.3618643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c17…3844backed Hornets53c366.72$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.364953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Knicks51c362.39$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.8258953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Hornets52c359.98$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.7962051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Knicks48c329.91$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9981349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91ff…edfdbacked Knicks48c302.75$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.3216948.5%82 W · 87 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Knicks47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14184150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Knicks29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876434.4%22 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+38.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Hornets52c291.36$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.8521653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a5c…0fc2backed Hornets54c282$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.7210255.9%57 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a9…656dbacked Hornets52c281.65$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.193828.9%11 W · 27 L-7.6wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-41.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Knicks49c275.1$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.0268838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Hornets53c275.04$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.2736248.1%174 W · 188 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Hornets50c271.17$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.5927645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Hornets58c266.07$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.231,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Hornets54c251.77$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.8212857.8%74 W · 54 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Knicks46c240.93$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.831,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Knicks39c234.61$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.542642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7faf…0d7abacked Knicks48c230.57$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf555…99c8backed Hornets53c228.37$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b39…7fbcbacked Hornets54c210.69$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.926155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed Knicks49c205.75$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8224051.3%123 W · 117 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Knicks48c202.48$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1949852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Knicks48c201.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8829345.7%134 W · 159 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Hornets51c199.97$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9835849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1093…2aa7backed Knicks49c197.17$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.611435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Knicks51c196.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.471,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d36…f4cbbacked Knicks49c193.09$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.619346.2%43 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Knicks47c192.96$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.743,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb69…c773backed Hornets52c187.27$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.1613148.9%64 W · 67 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe37a…45dfbacked Hornets54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+86.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Hornets55c177.41$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.575740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcee4…8804backed Hornets53c176.02$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.731250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Knicks42c170.91$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.473,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b73…45d9backed Knicks48c160.64$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.1134342.9%147 W · 196 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfaa…ce61backed Hornets53c155.73$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.191163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Knicks48c155.01$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.435546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Knicks48c151.72$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.12,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked Knicks48c151.38$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6610745.8%49 W · 58 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed Hornets53c144.28$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.819345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Hornets53c139.94$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.772,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Knicks20c128.82$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1319246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.