TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcee4…8804

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: UFC, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT5154.9%28 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification ATP: Joel Schwaerzler vs Gustavo Heidebacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.32
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.3
Cincinnati Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobollibacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.07
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+133.2%+$22.5
Cincinnati Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Cincinnati Open: Luciano Darderi vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Mariano Navonebacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+73.1%+$17.17
Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+125.2%+$15.63
Cincinnati Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zhengbacked Michael Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.32
Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.56
Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$11.92
Astana: Khumoun Sultanov vs Mert Alkayabacked Mert Alkaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Rebecca Sramkovabacked Hanne Vandewinkel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+75.1%+$9.43
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Plovdiv 2: Adrian Andreev vs Petr Nesterovbacked Petr Nesterov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$19.86
ITF Roehampton: Hikaru Sato vs Amelia Rajeckibacked Amelia Rajecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5.6
National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.27
National Bank Open: Raphael Collignon vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$41.34
National Bank Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.69
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$14.53
Targu Mures: Laura Samson vs Mia Risticbacked Laura Samson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10.68
ITF Huamantla: Kallista Liu vs Mika Buchnikbacked Kallista Liu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.49
Livesport Prague Open: Tereza Valentova vs Daria Snigurbacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
Tampere: Gauthier Onclin vs Tom Gentzschbacked Gauthier Onclin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$12.72
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.85
Spread: Hornets (-13.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$82.73
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.27
Spread: Suns (-2.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.96
Grizzlies vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$31.11
Spread: Jazz (-4.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$31.02
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
Spread: Heat (-16.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$44.29
Spread: Pistons (-18.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$9.49
Spread: Warriors (-15.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.74
Spread: Warriors (-14.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.5
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.7
All 12 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+58.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 185.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.86
LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.83
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Middlesbrough FC vs. Lincoln City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)backed Fenerbahçe SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.