NBA · resolved market
Spread: Suns (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41c4c83ebd57aad6c0d743fb4ddbc40fce5ee4b970519fad90d8428771baff5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Suns, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $220,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $242,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $220,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Suns | 49c | 91,796$44,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,980.16 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Lakers | 51c | 50,110$25,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,546.09 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Lakers | 51c | 46,070$23,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,587.93 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Lakers | 53c | 12,958$6,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,056.8 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Lakers | 53c | 12,154$6,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,759.96 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Suns | 49c | 10,087$4,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,942.52 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Suns | 50c | 9,948$4,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,973.93 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Lakers | 50c | 9,882$4,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,926.04 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 48c | 6,197$2,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,956.68 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Suns | 49c | 5,389$2,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640.52 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Suns | 24c | 3,640$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.74 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…3191backed Lakers | 50c | 2,973$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.69 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Suns | 50c | 2,293$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.32 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lakers | 52c | 2,149$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.61 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…303dbacked Suns | 50c | 2,053$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.26 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Lakers | 77c | 1,932$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.76 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Lakers | 50c | 1,920$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.34 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Suns | 46c | 1,660$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.14 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Lakers | 50c | 1,603$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.33 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Suns | 50c | 1,552$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Suns | 50c | 1,358$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Lakers | 53c | 1,101$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.43 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Suns | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c2…12e7backed Suns | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Suns | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Suns | 49c | 997.51$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.78 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…3d4cbacked Lakers | 52c | 986.73$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.79 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Suns | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Lakers | 50c | 942.79$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.4 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Lakers | 52c | 837.85$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.17 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Suns | 48c | 813.57$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.51 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Lakers | 50c | 715.86$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.93 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa222…7d3cbacked Lakers | 78c | 686.94$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.98 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Suns | 48c | 628.42$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.94 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked Suns | 49c | 593.51$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.82 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…b5efbacked Suns | 49c | 593.51$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.82 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Suns | 49c | 566.88$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.77 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Suns | 34c | 564.94$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.08 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 33c | 559.67$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.19 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…768ebacked Suns | 51c | 548.1$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.53 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Suns | 50c | 545.63$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.81 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Suns | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Lakers | 51c | 485.3$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.8 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Suns | 25c | 461.46$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.37 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Lakers | 51c | 406.43$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.15 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Lakers | 77c | 401.86$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.38 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Suns | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c17…3844backed Suns | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Lakers | 52c | 382.53$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.53 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…08b3backed Suns | 50c | 344.16$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.08 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Suns | 49c | 254.81$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.81 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Suns | 49c | 252.22$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.59 | 221 | 48%106 W · 115 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Suns | 49c | 232.55$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.95 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Lakers | 52c | 229.73$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.27 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Lakers | 51c | 208.64$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.86 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Suns | 32c | 204.75$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.22 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc75…88acbacked Suns | 23c | 204.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Suns | 48c | 199.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Suns | 27c | 195.68$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d8…288ebacked Lakers | 52c | 194.24$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d95…2342backed Suns | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Suns | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Suns | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7060…3b81backed Lakers | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Lakers | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927a…f706backed Lakers | 52c | 186.08$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.32 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee4…8804backed Suns | 49c | 183.59$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Suns | 49c | 182.06$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.21 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Suns | 50c | 180.13$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.21 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Suns | 48c | 173.1$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.28 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…ce61backed Suns | 49c | 171.86$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.21 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Suns | 39c | 169.79$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…d116backed Lakers | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Lakers | 50c | 157.14$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x323c…2fa4backed Suns | 51c | 152.25$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.65 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Lakers | 51c | 149.71$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.36 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Lakers | 52c | 149.42$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.72 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Suns | 49c | 147.43$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Lakers | 52c | 142.87$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.58 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Suns | 49c | 142.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.83 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Lakers | 51c | 141.96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.18 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Suns | 48c | 139.53$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.97 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers | 50c | 130.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.21 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…686fbacked Suns | 23c | 127.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 244 | 9.4%23 W · 221 L | -27.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…f166backed Suns | 23c | 125.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Lakers | 52c | 119.46$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.34 | 236 | 30.1%71 W · 165 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Suns | 49c | 118.85$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Suns | 49c | 112.69$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Suns | 49c | 107.8$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…e14cbacked Lakers | 51c | 102.77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.36 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb930…eadebacked Lakers | 70c | 102$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x668f…4c0fbacked Lakers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdec…a3a7backed Lakers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1725…dacebacked Lakers | 52c | 97.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Suns | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Lakers | 51c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.69 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Suns | 43c | 96.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…f8fdbacked Suns | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 203 | 46.3%94 W · 109 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…58c9backed Suns | 44c | 94.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Suns | 41c | 94.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 271 | 38.7%105 W · 166 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)this page
- LeBron James: Points O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-1.5)Lakers won
- Suns vs. LakersLakers won
- Suns vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Suns vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Suns vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 215.5Under won
- Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 216.5Under won
- Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 217.5Under won
- Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 218.5Under won
- Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 219.5Under won
- Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 220.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.