NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ab1b674102983895adb4c0ffe1bb4def10597609dc1e6b7117a0882ac2715a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Under | 61c | 11,921$7,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,602.88 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 38c | 3,079$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.95 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Over | 39c | 2,393$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.39 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 1,493$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.71 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 36c | 1,007$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.13 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 48c | 873.43$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.22 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 749.85$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.53 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d36…c604backed Over | 50c | 737.93$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.89 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 39c | 596.34$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.57 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 38c | 402.13$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.81 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…df05backed Under | 53c | 398.44$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.27 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 40c | 369.3$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.67 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6abc…bd1bbacked Over | 62c | 336.75$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.12 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce27…8a7dbacked Over | 43c | 282.11$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.71 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 38c | 276$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.88 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Over | 38c | 275.19$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.57 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 249.95$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.47 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked Over | 60c | 249.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.91 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Under | 52c | 194.23$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.42 | 237 | 48.1%114 W · 123 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Under | 57c | 192.79$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.9 | 201 | 46.8%94 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f0…1e62backed Over | 48c | 190$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Over | 48c | 188.08$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.28 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Under | 56c | 156.85$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.01 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 45c | 140.35$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.01 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 38c | 107.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 48c | 96.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 48c | 88.79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 42c | 85.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Under | 60c | 81.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 48c | 73.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 44c | 57.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 39c | 57.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 45c | 53.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…d4d7backed Over | 44c | 53.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Over | 56c | 52.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 137 | 49.6%68 W · 69 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…685cbacked Under | 78c | 49.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 38c | 39.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec3…2c88backed Under | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Over | 41c | 35.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +13.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 53c | 29.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 56c | 28.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 44c | 26.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Over | 56c | 26.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…aedbbacked Under | 70c | 25.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 53c | 24.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 53c | 24.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 220.5this page
- LeBron James: Points O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)Lakers won
- Suns vs. LakersLakers won
- Suns vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Suns vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Suns vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 215.5Under won
- Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 216.5Under won
- Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 217.5Under won
- Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 218.5Under won
- Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 219.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.