NBA · resolved market
Spread: Suns (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f6e0acd4a02b6635ef44452617b2dbae31c840a9d8804a2afdb39e5c1450ecc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Suns, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lakers | 48c | 7,963$3,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,140.86 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Suns | 52c | 7,774$4,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,042.72 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Suns | 53c | 6,643$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,520.28 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Lakers | 47c | 5,390$2,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,866.18 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Suns | 53c | 5,122$2,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,714.44 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Lakers | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.98 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Lakers | 47c | 4,579$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,427.13 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Suns | 53c | 3,939$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,087.74 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Lakers | 47c | 3,321$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.09 | 114 | 53.5%61 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Suns | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Lakers | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Suns | 52c | 2,495$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.41 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Suns | 52c | 2,080$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.6 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed Lakers | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Suns | 53c | 1,834$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.8 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Suns | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 52c | 1,314$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.2 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Suns | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.21 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Lakers | 47c | 1,074$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.22 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 48c | 1,032$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.47 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Lakers | 48c | 1,005$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.6 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f0…1e62backed Lakers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed Lakers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Lakers | 48c | 736.72$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.45 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Suns | 45c | 723.75$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.22 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lakers | 49c | 618.78$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.47 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Lakers | 47c | 618$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.54 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Suns | 36c | 597.3$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.09 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Suns | 52c | 574.28$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.79 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Suns | 53c | 553.93$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.58 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfd…f319backed Lakers | 66c | 519.39$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.55 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Lakers | 47c | 502.64$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.4 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers | 47c | 501.87$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.23 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Lakers | 47c | 493.76$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.99 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 61c | 394.38$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.16 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Suns | 47c | 389.73$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.8 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdc…0c38backed Lakers | 64c | 388.84$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.8 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…eac9backed Suns | 53c | 388.72$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.02 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked Suns | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.36 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Suns | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.36 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Suns | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.48 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Suns | 52c | 346.15$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Suns | 47c | 344.96$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.95 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Lakers | 49c | 300.74$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.06 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Suns | 26c | 296.24$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.02 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Suns | 52c | 280.15$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.68 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…b93dbacked Suns | 52c | 280.15$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.68 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Lakers | 48c | 252.29$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.19 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lakers | 47c | 239.96$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.18 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Suns | 52c | 210.12$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.26 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Suns | 48c | 196.06$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.11 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Lakers | 47c | 195.69$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.72 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17a3…8cb3backed Suns | 54c | 194.81$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.2 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Suns | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Suns | 52c | 184.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.19 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Suns | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 473 | 57.9%274 W · 199 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf9…c81bbacked Lakers | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Lakers | 72c | 169.49$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.76 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Lakers | 47c | 164.59$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.23 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Suns | 53c | 160.22$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.17 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Lakers | 49c | 153.1$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.51 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Lakers | 48c | 151.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lakers | 47c | 124$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.72 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Suns | 53c | 115.64$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…ad19backed Lakers | 47c | 113.3$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.05 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Lakers | 49c | 109.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.51 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3841…6c77backed Lakers | 47c | 103.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Lakers | 66c | 97.96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Lakers | 57c | 97.42$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Lakers | 49c | 96.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Suns | 52c | 94.86$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f47…6397backed Lakers | 69c | 88.91$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7b58backed Lakers | 47c | 82.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +70%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Suns | 52c | 78.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Suns | 44c | 77.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Lakers | 48c | 75.69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31d…e7a4backed Suns | 52c | 74.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Suns | 29c | 72.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 160 | 20%32 W · 128 L | -27.0wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Suns | 52c | 70.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…5f6cbacked Lakers | 47c | 67.77$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed Lakers | 47c | 65.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Lakers | 47c | 61.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Lakers | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Suns | 53c | 60.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Suns | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Suns | 35c | 59.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Suns | 42c | 58.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Suns | 53c | 58.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Lakers | 47c | 58.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Suns | 54c | 54.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Suns | 53c | 54.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…fa34backed Lakers | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4049…d92abacked Lakers | 54c | 50.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.45per pick | 35cpaid | +521%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Suns | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Suns | 53c | 49.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 238 | 40.8%97 W · 141 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Lakers | 73c | 46.68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Lakers | 73c | 46.68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lakers | 47c | 45.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Lakers | 48c | 43.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Suns | 54c | 41.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Suns (-1.5)this page
- LeBron James: Points O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)Lakers won
- Suns vs. LakersLakers won
- Suns vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Suns vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Suns vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 215.5Under won
- Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 216.5Under won
- Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 217.5Under won
- Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 218.5Under won
- Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 219.5Under won
- Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 220.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.