TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 217.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,943
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,190

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,943 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over54c28,570$15,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,510.2684443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c13,509$5,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,573.165,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c8,247$3,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,298.71,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Over50c2,027$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.667447.3%35 W · 39 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8788…8aa8backed Under48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0401060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cea…b12dbacked Under52c1,924$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.276741.8%28 W · 39 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc119…0162backed Over51c1,905$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.571921.1%4 W · 15 L-5.6wins-0.29per pick50cpaid-61.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under49c1,838$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.382,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c1,715$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.199,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80064651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.8621653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90079650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c1,222$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.233,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over50c1,092$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.1137355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over49c1,046$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.781,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c1,015$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.612,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Over50c984.76$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.3812646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under47c913.05$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.686,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2552,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26068645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56de…bc32backed Under51c485.3$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.84940.8%20 W · 29 L-6.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-27.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over51c437.72$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.2421950.2%110 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under49c382.09$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.7838947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c342.59$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.615,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5514…a9c1backed Over51c253.75$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.41742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1302,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over50c240.2$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.299646.9%45 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Under51c232.94$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.1419348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c200.27$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.991,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb143…cadebacked Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-46.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Under51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2533837.3%126 W · 212 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under34c171.91$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.792,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under48c146$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.922,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa46d…59c4backed Over50c145.5$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7512149.6%60 W · 61 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1de9…9499backed Over50c134.52$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2610636.8%39 W · 67 L-14.9wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under47c120$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.61,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under49c116.02$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8127354.9%150 W · 123 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over33c106.44$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.631,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over61c104.16$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1645251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6510…36d1backed Under42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585334%18 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Under78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2244345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Under42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5812637.3%47 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5f0…d345backed Over49c99.97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.992536%9 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+115.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Over50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.514054.3%76 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Over50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.538453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x721b…a873backed Over50c96.73$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.512254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under50c95.73$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8778648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.531,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9023…1143backed Over51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.533050%15 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8f47…6397backed Over22c91.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.027248.6%35 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under49c86$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.539041%160 W · 230 L-32.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Under51c85.65$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9723549.4%116 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over49c78.1$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.271,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bfd…f319backed Over51c75.97$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7511143.2%48 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under25c73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7578639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Under41c71.31$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0718444.6%82 W · 102 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under50c68.24$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1465045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over49c59.93$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3659650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6548…7337backed Over50c58.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.19047.8%43 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc05e…5f93backed Over51c57.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.124965.3%32 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under47c54.22$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7489850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under25c53$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7545544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03df…1dbabacked Under50c52.38$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.241662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under49c50.01$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.511,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe363…c894backed Under48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c39.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.894,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over50c38.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.433251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8190…27b4backed Over50c38.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.43863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f3…f727backed Over51c38.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.41966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over51c38.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4121952.5%115 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe45…a3e9backed Over52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.424146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over51c36.37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.452,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaa3…5f73backed Over55c35.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.462948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under50c30.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.111,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x941e…c622backed Over48c30.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.537960.8%48 W · 31 L+9.5wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+42.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Over52c29.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2411232.1%36 W · 76 L-17.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Under51c29.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.278444%37 W · 47 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7cd…e98dbacked Over50c28.81$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.49545.3%43 W · 52 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Under51c28.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9921649.1%106 W · 110 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c27.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.218,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a17…0945backed Over51c27.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under50c27.07$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.431,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under50c25.68$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7339448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under50c24.3$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.081,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf68…ed10backed Under63c23.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.595964.4%38 W · 21 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x64fb…f27cbacked Over50c23.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.642142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x47c7…85cbbacked Under51c22.4$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.981838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Under60c21.42$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5616153.4%86 W · 75 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf57…b182backed Over51c21.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25d8…a597backed Over51c20.39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.49250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b0e…3a70backed Over50c20.31$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1615053.3%80 W · 70 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.