TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,953
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,840

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,953 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd48a…6e90backed Over49c10,757$5,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,271.141,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under53c5,063$2,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,379.6537355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed Over47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35013551.1%69 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Under51c4,240$2,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,077.3914441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3722…1f0abacked Over49c3,500$1,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,714.986150.8%31 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Over46c2,971$1,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,366.8912850%64 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c2,281$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.49,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under36c2,125$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.82,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c2,118$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.614,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d46…98e9backed Over65c2,001$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.34666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over45c1,523$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.483,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over18c1,145$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.532,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over47c1,100$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51735049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8bb…e40fbacked Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39a8…7d57backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c743.57$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.354,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under62c654.2$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.291,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4d…0486backed Over35c551.21$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.187646.1%35 W · 41 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over40c520.79$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.711,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Over47c515$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.0518748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under51c492.91$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.5335546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Over46c491.76$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.2111437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Under53c458.38$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.4419258.3%112 W · 80 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over46c420.7$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.523348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Over45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18028852.1%150 W · 138 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1881,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over34c388.03$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.481,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under55c355.22$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.5841753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under55c354.45$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.351,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under55c349.1$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.41,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over44c344.52$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.591,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c341.37$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.58,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under55c338.67$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.6937647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over58c336.62$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.9595452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under54c333.06$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.4759250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under54c316.53$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.6190650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under54c316.53$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.6129849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Over46c303.38$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.5510943.1%47 W · 62 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Under58c285.84$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.0442348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Over4c277.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2619246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Over46c251.58$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.7219348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Under51c239.69$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.121347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f04…4e5fbacked Under49c232.41$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.932075%15 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under56c227.46$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.4519254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over47c213$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1123850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Under55c208.17$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.4220146.8%94 W · 107 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f6c…df05backed Under51c203.83$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.877256.9%41 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Over46c203.2$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4716249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over46c203.2$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4777549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Over46c202.23$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.0320040%80 W · 120 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a77…4fcfbacked Under55c194.6$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.573745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb002…103dbacked Under51c194.12$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.126845.6%31 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Under50c188.19$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.114946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under54c185.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7823445.7%107 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bfd…f319backed Under67c162.46$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.811143.2%48 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x39c4…2d95backed Under61c159.1$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.813036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.578648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Over46c143.2$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.876842.6%29 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under51c140.2$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.72,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf885…aac5backed Over42c136.95$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.92955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+52%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under52c121.22$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.061,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Over47c121.03$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8822351.6%115 W · 108 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed Over47c113.94$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.249854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under51c113.35$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.542,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under54c108.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2739448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Under56c106.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0523549.4%116 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Over46c106.44$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9614649.3%72 W · 74 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over46c104.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0744747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under56c104.46$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0353348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Over46c103.53$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6315650.6%79 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under51c100.53$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2649249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Over45c98.64$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3929344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62db…d58ebacked Over50c97.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.992065%13 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+38%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under70c97.73$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.463746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under55c97.3$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7933949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.518850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Over45c96.7$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5220237.1%75 W · 127 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under41c96.46$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9140750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over30c95.77$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.341,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under54c90.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4225348.6%123 W · 130 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Over47c88.58$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6313138.2%50 W · 81 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under56c87.11$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4484443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under51c86.92$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5993145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Under72c82.53$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1117553.7%94 W · 81 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under41c81.03$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8149247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Over47c71.65$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6736153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb3…ed90backed Over46c67.73$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.162259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d09…f0e0backed Under77c64.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Over50c58.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.114444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over28c56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6845445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56e4…6ee4backed Over46c55.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.374445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Over46c54.69$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1614445.8%66 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Over46c54.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9314753.1%78 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Over46c54.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9326147.1%123 W · 138 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa517…a62dbacked Under35c52.96$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.431877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.7wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+50.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4175…87a0backed Over46c52.59$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.199652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fe2…2c56backed Over39c48.23$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.81520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under65c47.39$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6161151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7894…7b9dbacked Over46c46.44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.369245.7%42 W · 50 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03df…1dbabacked Over47c45.3$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.281662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.