NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d19279732f49f104b90ccbc0b6a678d735a42572ab8c5340f0e75177e0d7086
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Suns, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,895,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,163,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,895,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Suns | 55c | 168,466$92,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,656.5 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Suns | 27c | 119,365$32,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,615.46 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…c461backed Suns | 54c | 110,209$59,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,215.19 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Lakers | 45c | 107,444$48,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,094.44 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Suns | 55c | 91,660$50,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,319.06 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lakers | 72c | 83,332$59,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,467.5 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lakers | 48c | 83,001$39,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,454.07 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8516…93a0backed Suns | 25c | 76,438$19,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,100.9 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…d35fbacked Suns | 35c | 73,418$25,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,696.34 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Suns | 60c | 57,007$33,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,925.61 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6233…6349backed Lakers | 73c | 54,005$39,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,618.28 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…fa35backed Suns | 0c | 47,401$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.44 | 341 | 36.1%123 W · 218 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Suns | 31c | 40,321$12,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,686.32 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7b…a772backed Suns | 1c | 37,008$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Lakers | 70c | 36,427$25,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,076.09 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Lakers | 69c | 35,537$24,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,089.13 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…f2dabacked Lakers | 75c | 32,028$24,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,888.66 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Suns | 3c | 31,784$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.66 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Suns | 55c | 29,829$16,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,405.7 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Suns | 36c | 29,379$10,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,602.81 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Lakers | 45c | 24,325$10,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,390.1 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Suns | 24c | 23,563$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.8 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Lakers | 39c | 22,276$8,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,545.57 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Lakers | 44c | 20,364$9,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,358.27 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Lakers | 45c | 20,307$9,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,168.85 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Suns | 21c | 20,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 90 | 18.9%17 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Lakers | 73c | 20,000$14,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cba…3516backed Lakers | 53c | 18,704$10,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,698.16 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…91e7backed Suns | 26c | 17,816$4,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,634.64 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Lakers | 60c | 17,104$10,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,876.08 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…ce68backed Suns | 28c | 16,888$4,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,661.7 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Suns | 55c | 16,000$8,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,759.86 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Suns | 26c | 15,939$4,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,144.25 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Suns | 45c | 15,902$7,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,158.62 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce6…e378backed Suns | 4c | 15,338$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.49 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Suns | 56c | 15,051$8,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,428.34 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Lakers | 45c | 14,961$6,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,228.37 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Suns | 1c | 14,192$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.01 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Lakers | 34c | 13,958$4,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,154.85 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aab…c4ddbacked Lakers | 75c | 13,532$10,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,342.52 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Suns | 39c | 13,100$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100.46 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938f…a768backed Lakers | 65c | 13,000$8,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,549.99 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd41a…fd60backed Lakers | 45c | 12,734$5,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,003.87 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Lakers | 45c | 10,744$4,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,909.44 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Suns | 48c | 10,636$5,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,128.21 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a65…9142backed Suns | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…6729backed Lakers | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,699.98 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…1c08backed Suns | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.9 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Lakers | 59c | 9,896$5,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,043.02 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Suns | 0c | 9,402$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Lakers | 52c | 9,399$4,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,544.46 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Suns | 57c | 8,546$4,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,871 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfec8…50f7backed Lakers | 44c | 8,017$3,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,489.77 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Lakers | 68c | 8,000$5,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lakers | 74c | 7,942$5,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.23 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Suns | 57c | 7,794$4,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,442.35 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…0d8cbacked Lakers | 45c | 7,754$3,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,268.75 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Suns | 0c | 7,706$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Suns | 27c | 7,633$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.91 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Suns | 67c | 7,537$5,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,029.62 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Lakers | 65c | 7,531$4,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,635.77 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e94…7f1ebacked Lakers | 45c | 7,178$3,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,924.97 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Lakers | 73c | 7,147$5,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.19 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Lakers | 45c | 7,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,850 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Suns | 56c | 6,523$3,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,652.95 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Suns | 11c | 6,009$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.99 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Suns | 57c | 5,461$3,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,113.05 | 392 | 65.1%255 W · 137 L | +31.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Suns | 11c | 5,310$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.33 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a68…7b56backed Lakers | 56c | 5,190$2,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268.72 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Lakers | 44c | 5,015$2,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,808.56 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48d…5182backed Lakers | 79c | 5,005$3,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.08 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Suns | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Suns | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Suns | 56c | 4,866$2,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,725.11 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Lakers | 45c | 4,835$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,659.25 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Lakers | 41c | 4,772$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,814.51 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Lakers | 73c | 4,675$3,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.8 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Suns | 55c | 4,595$2,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548.19 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Suns | 38c | 4,366$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,673.96 | 252 | 26.6%67 W · 185 L | -26.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Suns | 2c | 4,234$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.11 | 125 | 8%10 W · 115 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…4dc5backed Suns | 27c | 4,030$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc025…c169backed Lakers | 68c | 4,000$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked Suns | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Suns | 55c | 4,000$2,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,215 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Suns | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.96 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 55c | 3,924$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.33 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Lakers | 45c | 3,890$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.96 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +38%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb70…6c66backed Lakers | 33c | 3,854$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,582.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Suns | 46c | 3,810$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.58 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Lakers | 38c | 3,809$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.49 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Suns | 3c | 3,799$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.06 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed Lakers | 55c | 3,718$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.21 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd25…7d10backed Lakers | 45c | 3,694$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031.6 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Suns | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.75 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Lakers | 68c | 3,611$2,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.4 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Suns | 34c | 3,532$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.65 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Suns | 55c | 3,500$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Lakers | 44c | 3,450$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932 | 314 | 55.1%173 W · 141 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Lakers | 67c | 3,414$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.42 | 249 | 37.3%93 W · 156 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…9a1fbacked Lakers | 40c | 3,370$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.8 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Lakersthis page
- LeBron James: Points O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)Lakers won
- Suns vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Suns vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Suns vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 215.5Under won
- Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 216.5Under won
- Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 217.5Under won
- Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 218.5Under won
- Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 219.5Under won
- Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 220.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.