NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 216.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a8887142318ba1fecb040fc16dc8f98dd73ca9426225c62adcc778f4f854ef4

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $10,165
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $11,052

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,165 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x32ed…f960backed Under	42c	3,237$1,352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,885.33	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over	59c	2,266$1,339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,338.52	342	55.6%190 W · 152 L	+28.2wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+36%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Over	56c	2,192$1,224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,224.17	126	46%58 W · 68 L	-6.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under	49c	1,113$549 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$564.48	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	39c	885.09$349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$536.01	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f64…1bcbbacked Over	67c	729.38$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.05	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	46c	677$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.06	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cea…b12dbacked Under	53c	400.84$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.36	67	41.8%28 W · 39 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under	49c	300$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153	155	43.9%68 W · 87 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	48c	250$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Over	50c	194$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	74	41.9%31 W · 43 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Over	53c	183.36$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.18	82	56.1%46 W · 36 L	+5.2wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under	41c	178.04$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.04	918	46.2%424 W · 494 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	45c	148.98$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.24	898	50.9%457 W · 441 L	+19.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb18d…3464backed Over	67c	146.3$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.02	51	60.8%31 W · 20 L	+4.7wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under	17c	130.34$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.18	279	37.3%104 W · 175 L	+57.6wins	+0.21per pick	17cpaid	+187%equal weight	71+0.19 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over	51c	126.83$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.68	96	46.9%45 W · 51 L	-6.0wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Over	54c	97.24$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.51	96	54.2%52 W · 44 L	-6.7wins	-0.07per pick	61cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9bfd…f319backed Under	52c	83.83$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.24	111	43.2%48 W · 63 L	-9.7wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-21%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under	47c	80$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.4	1,425	47.7%680 W · 745 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x878c…2f83backed Under	57c	76.06$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.7	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over	40c	54.95$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.98	454	45.2%205 W · 249 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under	63c	36.95$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.67	557	51.9%289 W · 268 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Under	65c	36.85$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.82	184	44.6%82 W · 102 L	-11.9wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over	59c	31.78$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.78	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over	57c	29.23$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.66	275	53.5%147 W · 128 L	+8.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over	42c	28.18$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.93	452	51.1%231 W · 221 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1bdc…0c38backed Under	44c	27.26$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.27	70	57.1%40 W · 30 L	+5.0wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under	42c	24.57$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.25	378	48.7%184 W · 194 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 216.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event