TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0fe2…2c56

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Middle East, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 60 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.27per pick32cpaid+72.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.78
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.23
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+169.6%+$131.76
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.53
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.2
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.87
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+626%+$346.26
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.87
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+119.7%+$13.08
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+245.9%+$54.44
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.32
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$63.07
All 12 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+47.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Mls — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Charlotte FC vs. Nashville SC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$129.75
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.14
Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-1.5)backed San Jose Earthquakes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+186.6%+$290.28
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$78.03
Will Charlotte FC vs. Nashville SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.9
Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5)backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.85
Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$243.36
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$181.68
CF Montréal vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$26.33
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Braga vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.54
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Spread: AFC Ajax (-1.5)backed AFC Ajax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.59
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.9
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.72
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick60cpaid+75.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angers SCO win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$46.41
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$34.85
Lightning vs. Senatorsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.76
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$29.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.43
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$6.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.58
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$22.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.41
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+57%+$54.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.48
Will SV Darmstadt 98 vs. Hannover 96 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$133.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Mirra Andreeva vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.43
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.