TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-04-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$592,846
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$599,876

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $592,846 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 284 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed No58c231,698$134,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96,820.4715647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes42c119,986$50,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,367.44922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick35cpaid+28.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No54c67,810$36,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,936.0877751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes42c37,862$16,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,034.3797146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes53c32,156$17,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,100.7423643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes42c25,647$10,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,781.3323858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes53c24,773$13,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,131.241339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Yes54c20,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,799.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Yes18c13,155$2,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,337.2540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No58c11,107$6,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,632.3515458.4%90 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed No58c11,000$6,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6203450%17 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed No52c9,873$5,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,739.164062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Yes41c8,588$3,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,552.0213053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No68c5,120$3,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,613.3399340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes40c5,090$2,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,041.023,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Yes48c4,923$2,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,360.671471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+40.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes41c4,274$1,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,765.5710655.7%59 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes55c4,047$2,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2268946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No46c4,007$1,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,179.5921547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes40c3,326$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.885250%26 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes40c3,270$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.7831834.9%111 W · 207 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No66c3,235$2,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.1387154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No47c2,935$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,569.1842947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d76…90a0backed Yes37c2,708$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Yes44c2,525$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1029854.1%53 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No69c2,348$1,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.0247748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes43c2,269$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.3926345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes52c2,111$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.191553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes41c2,048$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84712254.1%66 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes41c2,048$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.9114151.8%73 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes39c1,871$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.9444447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Yes55c1,635$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9003046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No60c1,570$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.6319560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No45c1,560$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.0313942.4%59 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No60c1,386$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.62751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes18c1,331$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2361533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes40c1,293$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.24949%24 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No56c1,290$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.2117753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes53c1,250$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.1855750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No46c1,205$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.7453046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes33c1,204$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.5926346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Yes55c1,144$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6293855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes44c1,101$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.639458.5%55 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed No58c1,100$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Yes44c1,082$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.45856.9%33 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Yes46c1,017$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Yes42c1,017$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No72c1,006$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.3127058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.0168550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4301040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes45c1,000$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.178547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes53c998.21$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.052653.8%14 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed No46c964.8$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.322646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes46c944$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.085056%28 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x981c…306fbacked Yes56c897.72$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked No43c884.34$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.135156.9%29 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes45c837.21$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.469957.6%57 W · 42 L+13.1wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+40.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No59c800$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3288661.6%53 W · 33 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7abf…8dd3backed No61c748.86$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.92263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Yes35c664$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2352347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No63c647.7$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.4478344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes41c602.34$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.997334.2%25 W · 48 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes49c602$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.5820648.5%100 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No56c555$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.315851.7%30 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67a9…7590backed Yes32c544.96$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+56.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No46c543.48$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.4812146.3%56 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006155.7%34 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No45c495.99$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.449245.7%42 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Yes18c472.83$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.11666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No27c454.55$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.0348344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No46c448.2$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.034369.8%30 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No45c433$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.1513046.2%60 W · 70 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2166546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2282429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-46.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Yes36c393.87$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.214447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No62c390.91$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.0829370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked No55c383.69$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.996056.7%34 W · 26 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed Yes42c380.95$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes45c368.29$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.7322263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No24c354.98$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.331,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb41…8536backed Yes58c344.3$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92c4…2a0abacked Yes34c338.24$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes18c337.73$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9728721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes49c333.45$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.173740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-33.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x43ce…c264backed Yes55c330.91$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fe2…2c56backed No45c330.32$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.68966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+47.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Yes41c330$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.31330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8710853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No69c326.97$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.3619073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Yes55c310.91$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1712445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+43.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes49c310.54$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.3270249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes46c299$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.13452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No62c297.87$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.416752.2%35 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed No45c280.93$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.511855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1159…6228backed Yes18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a8…95b7backed Yes57c263.2$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes51c260$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.177074.3%52 W · 18 L+9.4wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+39%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked No59c254.58$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.582040%8 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes41c248.36$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.5519052.1%99 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.