Mls · resolved market
Will Portland Timbers vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2205d6017a318931889fb9b837b7aac85015cb2b03cf64db3c0aed7416e4a36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3be…c163backed Yes | 77c | 7,624$5,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,845.77 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -5.9wins | -0.24per pick | 66cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 67c | 5,629$3,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.68 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…0fa1backed Yes | 27c | 3,706$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 48c | 3,657$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.14 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 30c | 3,152$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.59 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Yes | 15c | 3,135$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.01 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 24c | 1,696$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.95 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196e…e9d6backed Yes | 60c | 1,668$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd49…03b8backed Yes | 36c | 1,390$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 1,007$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.5 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 22c | 1,002$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.39 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed No | 17c | 950$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.43 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 64c | 919.51$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.82 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 15c | 857.88$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.37 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3605…e7cbbacked Yes | 18c | 644.75$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 26c | 602.34$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.51 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f7…ae57backed Yes | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.44per pick | 16cpaid | +280.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a8…95b7backed Yes | 78c | 592.13$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 76c | 500.77$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.55 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 9cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Yes | 15c | 465$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 72c | 395.73$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.87 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 76c | 358.98$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.87 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077f…ca20backed No | 44c | 342.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.57 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed Yes | 25c | 320$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 79c | 312.86$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.37 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 30c | 296.45$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.69 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Yes | 24c | 291.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 266.64$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.66 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…af95backed Yes | 8c | 237.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 34c | 205.14$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.39 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4703…da76backed Yes | 12c | 204.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed No | 7c | 202.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.95 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.62per pick | 13cpaid | +515%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 17c | 198.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb2…a30cbacked No | 25c | 196.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +125%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1159…6228backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 30c | 187.57$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 73c | 163.14$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 35c | 138.29$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.02 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed Yes | 28c | 133.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 65c | 132.76$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.41 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed No | 58c | 122.79$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 64c | 119.19$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.96 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 30c | 112.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.89 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed Yes | 69c | 111$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.41 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 73c | 95.68$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked Yes | 29c | 92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 91.35$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 64c | 87.86$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 30c | 86.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 75c | 84.1$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 60c | 83.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 65c | 83.03$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 156 | 76.9%120 W · 36 L | +32.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 77.52$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 40c | 76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…7e76backed Yes | 79c | 76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 58c | 73.07$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 29c | 65.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 56c | 64.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed No | 56c | 64.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 56c | 64.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked No | 56c | 64.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 56c | 64.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 56c | 64.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 56c | 64.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 24c | 62.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 29c | 61.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 76c | 59.49$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80aa…e8eabacked No | 24c | 58.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.42per pick | 21cpaid | +204.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 24c | 57.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 29c | 57.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 61c | 45.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 54c | 44.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2116…eb8fbacked No | 33c | 42.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 72c | 40.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 77c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…cfbfbacked Yes | 49c | 38.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…1bafbacked No | 74c | 37.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed No | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 56c | 35.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 56c | 35.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 59c | 33.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 58c | 32.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 67c | 30.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 51c | 29.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…ed10backed No | 56c | 26.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 61cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 77c | 21.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portland Timbers vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-04-11?No won
- Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.