Mls · resolved market
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdf5381d6b17a31a6237187f8c1933f098848f048f962511c6fc4189ee33f05c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $254,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $261,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 15c | 75,000$11,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,976.35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 31c | 62,643$19,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,157.12 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 79c | 26,694$20,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,972.4 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d3…0e0fbacked No | 70c | 26,103$18,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,318.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 67c | 18,450$12,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,366 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +6.2wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 73c | 16,940$12,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,366.1 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Yes | 36c | 15,278$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,777.78 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 21c | 8,402$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,605.29 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 7,289$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,407.61 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 68c | 6,599$4,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,487.31 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 69c | 3,494$2,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,407.7 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 69c | 2,969$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.92 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 2,896$2,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,234.69 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 78c | 2,852$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.5 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Yes | 27c | 2,757$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.62 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 2,568$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.61 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 72c | 2,269$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.73 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 80c | 2,089$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.22 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…6559backed No | 11c | 1,888$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 50c | 1,752$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.75 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 68c | 1,710$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.32 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 72c | 1,701$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.38 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 27c | 1,506$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.64 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5328…1a86backed No | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 31c | 999.96$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.97 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd49…03b8backed Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 58c | 706.68$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.95 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 54c | 619.88$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.1 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 23c | 604.04$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.02 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 33c | 602.34$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.54 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 78c | 555$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.13 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes | 6c | 524.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.42 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked No | 78c | 490.56$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.54 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 470.71$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.16 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 469.84$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.42 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…700fbacked No | 5c | 431.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed No | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 31c | 359.17$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.17 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 45c | 359.1$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.19 | 89 | 71.9%64 W · 25 L | +17.2wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes | 30c | 347.94$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.1 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Yes | 25c | 345.05$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.66 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…639fbacked Yes | 58c | 345$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 30c | 340.59$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.56 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 27c | 335.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.24 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 22c | 330$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.74 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked No | 64c | 310.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 64c | 300.04$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.32 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked No | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5865…696abacked No | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 42c | 295.65$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.8 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 22c | 295$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.36 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 24c | 291.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.67 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 57c | 289$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.43 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 37c | 286.88$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.37 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 72c | 279.64$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.86 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfc…7f6bbacked No | 5c | 265.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 14cpaid | +185.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 24c | 254.56$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.47 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 70c | 251$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.7 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked No | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 74c | 249.97$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.98 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked No | 77c | 240$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed No | 69c | 236$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.15 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…af95backed No | 6c | 233.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 79c | 217$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…7590backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed No | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a91…c1f2backed Yes | 63c | 188.84$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 33c | 187.8$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.25 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 40c | 184.62$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.56 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 68c | 183.84$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 26c | 180.31$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.79 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 77c | 180$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed No | 74c | 179$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.1 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 32c | 173.2$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.99 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 40c | 170.39$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.28 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 70c | 168.35$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.01 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Yes | 30c | 167.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.23 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a9…c9a5backed No | 74c | 163.16$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…b28bbacked Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed No | 76c | 127.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 44c | 126.1$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.01 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80aa…e8eabacked No | 12c | 121.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.42per pick | 21cpaid | +204.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf855…0952backed No | 42c | 119.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8dc…8d7ebacked Yes | 26c | 115.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.72 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 49cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 29c | 111.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9b…2866backed Yes | 27c | 109$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 107.3$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4b…b4ebbacked No | 42c | 107$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 46c | 105.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…38cbbacked No | 74c | 103.77$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.79 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Yes | 23c | 100.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-04-11?No won
- Will Portland Timbers vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.