TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf855…0952

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT4575.6%34 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rebeka Masarova vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.1
Istanbul: Storm Hunter vs Guiomar Maristanybacked Guiomar Maristany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Jiujiang: Xinxin Yao vs Haruka Kajibacked Xinxin Yao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Francavilla: Ryan Seggerman vs Yannick Alexandrescoubacked Ryan Seggerman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$31.23
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anastasia Zakharova vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: McCartney Kessler vs Lucia Bronzettibacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$49.42
Saint-Malo: Leolia Jeanjean vs Talia Gibsonbacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.99
Madrid Open: Vit Kopriva vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$126.32
Shymkent 2: Radu Albot vs Gerard Campana Leebacked Radu Albot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.84
Shymkent 2: Sergey Fomin vs Jelle Selsbacked Sergey Fomin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$62.22
Saint-Malo: Moyuka Uchijima vs Ksenia Efremovabacked Moyuka Uchijima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+37%+$72.77
Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Fonseca (+1.5)backed Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$91.06
Set 1 Winner: Lehecka vs Michelsenbacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$65.06
Abidjan: Gauthier Onclin vs Mert Alkayabacked Gauthier Onclin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$54.56
Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Tomas Machacbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$63.6
Abidjan: Florent Bax vs Calvin Hemerybacked Calvin Hemery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$62.25
Madrid Open: Laura Siegemund vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$33.01
Madrid Open, Qualification: Nikola Bartunkova vs Alina Charaevabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.84
Flavio Cobolli vs. Ben Shelton: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.07
Tallahassee: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Jack Kennedybacked Joao Lucas Da Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$57.69
Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs Cobollibacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$357.27
Santa Cruz: Matias Soto vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$34.64
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Anna Bondar vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$125.98
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Mirra Andreevabacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.98
Cameron Norrie vs. Rafael Jodar: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.64
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.23
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on April 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+172%+$32.22
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on April 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.37
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+215.8%+$42.22
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.17
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.87
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.16
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+201.8%+$56.23
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.02
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$106.25
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$76.96
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.56
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.65
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series Indonesia vs Sweden: Indonesia vs Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$28.51
Pakistan Super League: Quetta Gladiators vs Rawalpindi Pindizbacked Quetta Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$50.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.83
Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$45.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$25.04
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$79.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.