TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

Madrid Open: Vit Kopriva vs Rafael Jodar

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rafael Jodarof Vit Kopriva, Rafael Jodar
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$260,830
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$299,330

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $260,830 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Vit Kopriva17c23,906$4,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,143.998,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Vit Kopriva18c13,563$2,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,434.154,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Vit Kopriva20c13,011$2,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,649.156,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Vit Kopriva11c9,174$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.1115048%72 W · 78 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Vit Kopriva20c7,306$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.048,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Vit Kopriva22c6,222$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,351.134,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Rafael Jodar79c4,555$3,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.5515665.4%102 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Vit Kopriva10c3,952$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.187,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Vit Kopriva18c3,722$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.741,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Vit Kopriva9c3,527$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31072132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Vit Kopriva19c3,161$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60048851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Vit Kopriva23c2,776$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.1211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Vit Kopriva18c2,300$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4149134.1%31 W · 60 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Vit Kopriva33c2,207$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72733037.3%123 W · 207 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Vit Kopriva18c2,179$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.71,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b3…49f8backed Vit Kopriva24c2,064$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.1819835.4%70 W · 128 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Vit Kopriva17c2,037$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.5824643.9%108 W · 138 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Vit Kopriva17c2,030$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.458232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked Vit Kopriva10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020412.7%26 W · 178 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Vit Kopriva17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.9958734.6%203 W · 384 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Vit Kopriva14c1,722$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.2546435.3%164 W · 300 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ba9…bfaebacked Rafael Jodar76c1,711$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.5317754.8%97 W · 80 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dbb…c0fdbacked Rafael Jodar65c1,692$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.319856.1%55 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Vit Kopriva18c1,514$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.634136.4%124 W · 217 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Vit Kopriva18c1,370$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.825,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0ce…99f6backed Vit Kopriva15c1,326$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017936.9%66 W · 113 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Vit Kopriva27c1,314$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.6754345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Vit Kopriva23c1,304$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010655.7%59 W · 47 L+13.2wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+28.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2aee…b327backed Rafael Jodar79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.822035%7 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-36.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8227…0bccbacked Rafael Jodar80c1,240$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2483650%18 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e85…c104backed Vit Kopriva23c1,235$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27850%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fae…0d19backed Vit Kopriva24c1,200$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28842839.7%170 W · 258 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa363…46c8backed Vit Kopriva20c971.21$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.4822821.1%48 W · 180 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf96d…20bebacked Vit Kopriva22c965.33$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.1248214.1%68 W · 414 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Vit Kopriva26c898.02$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.185348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc26a…b715backed Vit Kopriva27c829.22$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.2557321.8%125 W · 448 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Rafael Jodar79c800$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1681181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.27per pick55cpaid+35.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5a81…7debbacked Rafael Jodar80c753.6$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.614564.1%93 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Vit Kopriva28c742$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.4466139.3%260 W · 401 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Rafael Jodar73c739.98$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.421,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56df…edc2backed Vit Kopriva8c729.9$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574833.3%16 W · 32 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+50.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Vit Kopriva6c726.27$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.771,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab4d…3f0bbacked Rafael Jodar73c699.99$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18917352%90 W · 83 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Vit Kopriva18c658.98$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.6697745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Vit Kopriva17c603.36$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5780938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Rafael Jodar77c561.7$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.2328933.2%96 W · 193 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf855…0952backed Rafael Jodar76c526.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.324575.6%34 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Vit Kopriva20c500.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10084736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Vit Kopriva17c500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8545445.4%206 W · 248 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe612…ee20backed Vit Kopriva19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959560%57 W · 38 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x90f3…ac83backed Vit Kopriva16c445.22$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.245844.8%26 W · 32 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Vit Kopriva23c425.11$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.481,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Vit Kopriva24c424.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Vit Kopriva20c412$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7658021.9%127 W · 453 L+2.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked Vit Kopriva19c402.74$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7413033.8%44 W · 86 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Vit Kopriva17c400$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6866831.3%209 W · 459 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Vit Kopriva18c399.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7211927.7%33 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Vit Kopriva17c372.49$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.053836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b89…baa4backed Vit Kopriva18c362.12$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653627.8%10 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffa9…eff1backed Rafael Jodar79c354.43$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.431866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e0…62a3backed Vit Kopriva12c341.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Vit Kopriva17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Vit Kopriva25c280$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7054547.9%261 W · 284 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Vit Kopriva19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5048331.1%150 W · 333 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Vit Kopriva22c250$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5521937.9%83 W · 136 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45e2…5a91backed Vit Kopriva11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-50.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e1…ecdbbacked Vit Kopriva23c221.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5048935.8%175 W · 314 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cbc…3f10backed Vit Kopriva23c213.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Rafael Jodar79c210.89$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1226462.1%164 W · 100 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Vit Kopriva17c205.88$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3536640.7%149 W · 217 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2fb…e28fbacked Rafael Jodar76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483638.9%14 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Rafael Jodar76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4813051.5%67 W · 63 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Vit Kopriva17c181.12$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.791,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf390…d1bbbacked Vit Kopriva17c181$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.775433.3%18 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52f6…af63backed Vit Kopriva22c175.62$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9718033.9%61 W · 119 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6525…c12cbacked Vit Kopriva11c172.73$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Vit Kopriva17c162$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5456827.3%155 W · 413 L+23.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rafael Jodar79c160.02$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.032,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6495…6cd7backed Vit Kopriva18c158.47$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.528248.8%40 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7708…42cbbacked Vit Kopriva24c150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.496628.8%19 W · 47 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Vit Kopriva20c146.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.418459.8%110 W · 74 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x49c4…db5bbacked Vit Kopriva20c140.35$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.394526.7%12 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Vit Kopriva21c132.12$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1857052.6%300 W · 270 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00a6…6d3cbacked Vit Kopriva19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2989…9869backed Vit Kopriva25c130$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Rafael Jodar80c127$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.489364.4%575 W · 318 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07b9…3efebacked Rafael Jodar79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.586254.8%34 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Vit Kopriva13c126.32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-69.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dfd…5909backed Vit Kopriva23c112.71$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.961637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Vit Kopriva12c111$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.327722.1%17 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Vit Kopriva23c106.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5519531.3%61 W · 134 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe635…b1a2backed Vit Kopriva18c105.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0213240.9%54 W · 78 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe391…eea1backed Vit Kopriva18c105.54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1917647.2%83 W · 93 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Vit Kopriva19c102.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5231563.5%200 W · 115 L+21.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x999b…bc86backed Vit Kopriva19c100.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.032040%8 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4967…4292backed Vit Kopriva22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Vit Kopriva19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1995742.1%403 W · 554 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd179…74adbacked Vit Kopriva21c99.97$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9928756.1%161 W · 126 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d0a…07c7backed Vit Kopriva22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207357.5%42 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Rafael Jodar80c88.04$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8144349%217 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.