Tennis · resolved market
Francavilla: Ryan Seggerman vs Yannick Alexandrescou
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56fcd65700a8132c32fa6e65d4f150bb81eb5ecd89e504a8708094c46df0b11a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ryan Seggermanof Ryan Seggerman, Yannick Alexandrescou
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Yannick Alexandrescou | 48c | 4,768$2,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270.52 | 543 | 45.3%246 W · 297 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ryan Seggerman | 54c | 3,102$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.99 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yannick Alexandrescou | 26c | 1,092$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.8 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Ryan Seggerman | 74c | 936.95$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Ryan Seggerman | 66c | 935.88$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.97 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Ryan Seggerman | 54c | 803.28$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.83 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yannick Alexandrescou | 36c | 782.58$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.43 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b2…0f1ebacked Yannick Alexandrescou | 43c | 739.99$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.2 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa838…bccebacked Ryan Seggerman | 70c | 714.16$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.25 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Ryan Seggerman | 74c | 678$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.28 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a5…c965backed Ryan Seggerman | 62c | 494.28$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.03 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yannick Alexandrescou | 26c | 468.3$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.67 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Yannick Alexandrescou | 29c | 428.39$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.23 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa36f…dbcfbacked Yannick Alexandrescou | 35c | 258.14$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.85 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yannick Alexandrescou | 21c | 253.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.84 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yannick Alexandrescou | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224e…f7ddbacked Ryan Seggerman | 66c | 228.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.02 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…626dbacked Ryan Seggerman | 78c | 226.58$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 279 | 36.2%101 W · 178 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Ryan Seggerman | 74c | 202.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yannick Alexandrescou | 28c | 190$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…39eebacked Yannick Alexandrescou | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Ryan Seggerman | 71c | 169.7$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.73 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74c…1f49backed Ryan Seggerman | 75c | 166.66$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 146 | 74%108 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 75cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Yannick Alexandrescou | 36c | 137.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 259 | 57.1%148 W · 111 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf855…0952backed Ryan Seggerman | 76c | 131.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Ryan Seggerman | 53c | 125$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yannick Alexandrescou | 30c | 122$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…8f90backed Yannick Alexandrescou | 13c | 106.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 128 | 31.3%40 W · 88 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Yannick Alexandrescou | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb594…c1a0backed Ryan Seggerman | 66c | 98.16$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 77 | 68.8%53 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ryan Seggerman | 66c | 82.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Ryan Seggerman | 64c | 72.89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yannick Alexandrescou | 35c | 71.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 165 | 29.1%48 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Ryan Seggerman | 65c | 71.65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Ryan Seggerman | 51c | 71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Yannick Alexandrescou | 22c | 68.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yannick Alexandrescou | 21c | 64.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Yannick Alexandrescou | 23c | 59.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Ryan Seggerman | 63c | 59.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Ryan Seggerman | 64c | 51.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Ryan Seggerman | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86d0…904ebacked Yannick Alexandrescou | 23c | 48.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 236 | 34.7%82 W · 154 L | -37.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Yannick Alexandrescou | 46c | 42.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 269 | 51.3%138 W · 131 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Ryan Seggerman | 79c | 34.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ryan Seggerman | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Yannick Alexandrescou | 35c | 28.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Ryan Seggerman | 71c | 27.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…5eeabacked Ryan Seggerman | 77c | 25.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 230 | 73.9%170 W · 60 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 78cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Ryan Seggerman | 71c | 24.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Ryan Seggerman | 76c | 23.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 671 | 78.7%528 W · 143 L | +49.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0a…f6bdbacked Ryan Seggerman | 70c | 19.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 132 | 68.9%91 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ryan Seggerman | 73c | 19.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Ryan Seggerman | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.