TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x224e…f7dd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: La Liga, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT8951.7%46 W · 43 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Roman Safiullin vs Hugo Grenierbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.77
US Open, Qualification ATP: Spencer Johnson vs Cristian Garinbacked Spencer Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$362
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex de Minaurbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$92.52
Cincinnati Open: Michael Zheng vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$56.99
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Fery (+1.5)backed Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Hagen: Carlos Taberner vs Juan Bautista Torresbacked Juan Bautista Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$787Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$787
Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Nishikori (+1.5)backed Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$404.99
Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$788Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$788
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$306.25
Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensikbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.89
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Roman Safiullinbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.71
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Gilles Arnaud Baillybacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$25.34
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Elias Ymer vs Arthur Ferybacked Elias Ymer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.72
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$188
Zagreb: Thiago Monteiro vs Andres Andradebacked Thiago Monteiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Arthur Filsbacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$174.6
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Simona Waltert vs Hailey Baptistebacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$141.87
Wuxi: Mark Lajal vs Dane Sweenybacked Dane Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
Francavilla: Ryan Seggerman vs Yannick Alexandrescoubacked Ryan Seggerman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+52%+$78.02
Jiujiang: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Heather Watsonbacked Heather Watson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+46%+$84.21
Istanbul: Donna Vekic vs Aliona Faleibacked Aliona Falei · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.36
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Leandro Riedi vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pedro Martinez vs Jesper de Jongbacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Abidjan 2: Niels Visker vs Michael Mmohbacked Michael Mmoh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$41.16
Huzhou: Varvara Panshina vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$44.35
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+71.5%+$150.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$197.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.