TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Huzhou: Varvara Panshina vs Katarzyna Kawa

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Katarzyna Kawaof Varvara Panshina, Katarzyna Kawa
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$151,258
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$144,145

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,258 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7402…8020backed Varvara Panshina11c16,660$1,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,813.397526.7%20 W · 55 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d0a…ed66backed Varvara Panshina0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+54.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Varvara Panshina17c12,221$2,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,056.188,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbfb…84a6backed Varvara Panshina30c9,668$2,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,880.5412814.1%18 W · 110 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Katarzyna Kawa77c7,259$5,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,669.1411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Katarzyna Kawa76c7,108$5,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,674.26,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Varvara Panshina26c5,200$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3486043.3%26 W · 34 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Varvara Panshina28c4,933$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,381.254345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Katarzyna Kawa80c2,949$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.793,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Varvara Panshina27c2,394$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.572,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Katarzyna Kawa67c2,239$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.8162061.9%384 W · 236 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Varvara Panshina18c2,098$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.6727931.9%89 W · 190 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Katarzyna Kawa67c1,900$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62717857.3%102 W · 76 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Varvara Panshina21c1,457$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.880341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Varvara Panshina14c1,400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19653843.5%234 W · 304 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Varvara Panshina22c1,289$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.1735032.3%113 W · 237 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked Varvara Panshina10c1,100$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11020412.7%26 W · 178 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Varvara Panshina22c1,014$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.486046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Varvara Panshina26c781.76$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.5484640%338 W · 508 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Varvara Panshina25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10069253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Varvara Panshina26c385.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Katarzyna Kawa72c384.83$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.414,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Varvara Panshina35c379.15$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.79,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Katarzyna Kawa75c367.47$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.931,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3468…e71ebacked Varvara Panshina29c341.1$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.925022%11 W · 39 L-5.8wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf613…b2d4backed Varvara Panshina18c321.43$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3560%0 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x56df…edc2backed Varvara Panshina19c309.97$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594833.3%16 W · 32 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+50.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29b1…ca10backed Varvara Panshina36c297.22$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5315544.5%69 W · 86 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Varvara Panshina17c293.47$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0622113.6%30 W · 191 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0da…67cdbacked Varvara Panshina25c282.88$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.222020%4 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-64.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x942d…896cbacked Katarzyna Kawa75c266$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.52540%10 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dc8…6655backed Katarzyna Kawa77c265.73$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1214255.6%79 W · 63 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Varvara Panshina20c258.93$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.866,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Varvara Panshina33c257$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.143353.6%232 W · 201 L+32.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7708…42cbbacked Varvara Panshina20c244.32$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.816628.8%19 W · 47 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Katarzyna Kawa72c207.97$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9784968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6076…f8fdbacked Varvara Panshina25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017744.1%78 W · 99 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Katarzyna Kawa61c184.12$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.454,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x112e…0d1fbacked Katarzyna Kawa77c161.25$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2934965%227 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Katarzyna Kawa76c156.05$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2397745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224e…f7ddbacked Katarzyna Kawa69c144.35$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.358951.7%46 W · 43 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3de…fe0ebacked Katarzyna Kawa72c137.76$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.192352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Katarzyna Kawa79c132.65$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2179951.1%408 W · 391 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Katarzyna Kawa77c128.41$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0550644.9%227 W · 279 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a1…97e6backed Katarzyna Kawa66c122.45$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.911877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc287…6d47backed Varvara Panshina17c103.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8515332%49 W · 104 L-13.3wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Katarzyna Kawa76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0f…e047backed Varvara Panshina10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-54%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Varvara Panshina35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Katarzyna Kawa77c89.62$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4695846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Katarzyna Kawa77c89$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.311,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Varvara Panshina29c82.76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2419531.3%61 W · 134 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d04…022bbacked Varvara Panshina17c81.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7814531.7%46 W · 99 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Varvara Panshina23c80.97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1940161.1%245 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x023d…23acbacked Varvara Panshina24c70.91$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8961755.9%345 W · 272 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x095d…110bbacked Varvara Panshina24c70.66$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.84247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Varvara Panshina25c68.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.463,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Varvara Panshina32c68.66$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.974,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Katarzyna Kawa74c67.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8263052.4%330 W · 300 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked Varvara Panshina15c67.46$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3913033.8%44 W · 86 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2b3…15debacked Katarzyna Kawa72c63.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.99366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Varvara Panshina24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1549943.5%217 W · 282 L+2.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Varvara Panshina19c60.88$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7983047%390 W · 440 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d28…ad43backed Varvara Panshina33c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Varvara Panshina34c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.446040%184 W · 276 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Katarzyna Kawa74c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8580153.1%425 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xceaa…e18ebacked Varvara Panshina25c57.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.12920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f28…f1e3backed Katarzyna Kawa73c55.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.14475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe324…9189backed Varvara Panshina24c54.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320664.1%132 W · 74 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Katarzyna Kawa76c54.17$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131,00145.4%454 W · 547 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Varvara Panshina25c53.96$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.612,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Varvara Panshina33c53.11$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5351339.4%202 W · 311 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe00a…330ebacked Katarzyna Kawa76c52.31$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.316573.8%48 W · 17 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x535c…20fdbacked Varvara Panshina26c52.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.341526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-53.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5de…88dabacked Katarzyna Kawa70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1514156%79 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2c8…d506backed Varvara Panshina20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015937.7%60 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcae…fe45backed Katarzyna Kawa69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.53762.2%23 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Katarzyna Kawa77c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.552750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb988…f50fbacked Katarzyna Kawa78c49.62$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.842181%17 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+26.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe010…a84bbacked Katarzyna Kawa79c49.37$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.37475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32c7…617fbacked Varvara Panshina25c48.83$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.44742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86d0…904ebacked Katarzyna Kawa74c44.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9123634.7%82 W · 154 L-37.4wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-45.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xbb97…3815backed Varvara Panshina25c44.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.02757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick38cpaid+37.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Varvara Panshina23c43.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0190340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5012…4d3ebacked Katarzyna Kawa73c40.34$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.782962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Katarzyna Kawa75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Katarzyna Kawa80c37.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6420957.9%121 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Katarzyna Kawa74c37$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.622,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Katarzyna Kawa76c36.45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6178350.3%394 W · 389 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f55…702abacked Katarzyna Kawa77c35.06$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa6c…a67dbacked Katarzyna Kawa77c32.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.473438.2%13 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e32…bb77backed Katarzyna Kawa70c31.57$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Katarzyna Kawa72c30.36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.528348.4%137 W · 146 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ede…f58bbacked Katarzyna Kawa70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8487…c1dbbacked Katarzyna Kawa79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.33470.6%24 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe02f…c990backed Katarzyna Kawa77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.98572.9%62 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bb6…a8fdbacked Katarzyna Kawa77c29.79$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf492…3a8cbacked Katarzyna Kawa74c28.38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Katarzyna Kawa69c27.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.561,06557.4%611 W · 454 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c7d…64dabacked Katarzyna Kawa75c24.63$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.042864.3%18 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.