TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa0da…67cd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
27
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2020%4 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-64.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem, Qualification: Anastasia Zolotareva vs Vera Zvonarevabacked Anastasia Zolotareva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.57
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Sara Bejlek vs Emma Navarrobacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.79
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Maya Joint vs Ann Libacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Katie Boulter vs Eva Lysbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.6
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Peyton Stearns vs Janice Tjenbacked Peyton Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+133.2%+$25.05
Aix en Provence: Ignacio Buse vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.61
Ostrava: Dalibor Svrcina vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdobacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.46
Cagliari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.49
Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
Huzhou: Xiyu Wang vs Polona Hercogbacked Xiyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$20.14
Jiujiang: Adam Walton vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$55.73
Huzhou: Varvara Panshina vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Varvara Panshina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.22
Jiujiang: Mark Lajal vs Fajing Sunbacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Abidjan 2: Maks Kasnikowski vs Calvin Hemerybacked Maks Kasnikowski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.15
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.79
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockxbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.01
Landaluce vs. Walton: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.4
Madrid Open: Ignacio Buse vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.22
Set Handicap: Marcinko (-1.5) vs Kasintseva (+1.5)backed Kasintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Draxl vs. Dias: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$40.38
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$132.61
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.51
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.88
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$55.64
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Arnold Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.