Tennis · resolved market
Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Nuno Borges
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69e7bf764cb986bce98845ab45ae5e3e2a9701c0efaa2018903baa830d03a0ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matteo Arnaldiof Matteo Arnaldi, Nuno Borges
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $214,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $243,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Matteo Arnaldi | 67c | 11,000$7,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,630.08 | 312 | 34.6%108 W · 204 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 54c | 9,699$5,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,506.24 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 50c | 7,034$3,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,547.49 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuno Borges | 49c | 5,253$2,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,589.15 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Nuno Borges | 69c | 4,296$2,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,977.14 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Matteo Arnaldi | 34c | 3,842$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,516.47 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…8020backed Nuno Borges | 9c | 3,700$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.55 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Matteo Arnaldi | 37c | 3,010$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.97 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Nuno Borges | 32c | 2,756$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.6 | 543 | 45.3%246 W · 297 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb585…53edbacked Nuno Borges | 74c | 2,550$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Nuno Borges | 47c | 2,131$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 407 | 48.9%199 W · 208 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0165…8235backed Matteo Arnaldi | 56c | 2,126$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.68 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nuno Borges | 39c | 1,579$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.26 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 228 | 56.1%128 W · 100 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x018b…5372backed Matteo Arnaldi | 76c | 1,457$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.75 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Nuno Borges | 26c | 1,442$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Matteo Arnaldi | 75c | 1,432$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.19 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…72f2backed Nuno Borges | 36c | 1,336$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.12 | 199 | 26.6%53 W · 146 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Matteo Arnaldi | 49c | 1,299$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.56 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 43c | 1,251$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.06 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Nuno Borges | 57c | 1,232$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Matteo Arnaldi | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Nuno Borges | 78c | 1,007$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.08 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 49c | 999.81$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.68 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Nuno Borges | 36c | 992.49$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.39 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Matteo Arnaldi | 47c | 991.47$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.54 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c7…5cecbacked Nuno Borges | 31c | 953.44$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Nuno Borges | 52c | 924.23$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 307 | 44.6%137 W · 170 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Nuno Borges | 10c | 916.12$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.92 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nuno Borges | 56c | 868.32$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.88 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Matteo Arnaldi | 40c | 837.8$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.24 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Nuno Borges | 15c | 801.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482f…7504backed Matteo Arnaldi | 64c | 775.34$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.34 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec8…762abacked Matteo Arnaldi | 48c | 769.23$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa838…bccebacked Nuno Borges | 70c | 714.28$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 12c | 700$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614 | 295 | 19.7%58 W · 237 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Nuno Borges | 20c | 699.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Nuno Borges | 40c | 685.03$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.11 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Nuno Borges | 27c | 632.89$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.55 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…f152backed Nuno Borges | 72c | 606.76$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Nuno Borges | 27c | 572.12$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.06 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Nuno Borges | 25c | 560$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 542 | 49.3%267 W · 275 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 48c | 543$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.65 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Nuno Borges | 51c | 527.55$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.21 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c7…1400backed Nuno Borges | 52c | 514.04$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.7wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9283…ba85backed Nuno Borges | 49c | 513.64$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Matteo Arnaldi | 72c | 503.42$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.15 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…b78abacked Matteo Arnaldi | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Matteo Arnaldi | 35c | 499.97$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.85 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Matteo Arnaldi | 30c | 496.7$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.83 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…fc83backed Nuno Borges | 27c | 460$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Nuno Borges | 37c | 447.77$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.58 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Matteo Arnaldi | 34c | 442.03$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.03 | 252 | 40.5%102 W · 150 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 48c | 438.6$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.45 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Nuno Borges | 55c | 436.3$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.97 | 366 | 40.7%149 W · 217 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5792…6481backed Nuno Borges | 31c | 434.11$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.58 | 132 | 22%29 W · 103 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9d…4a77backed Matteo Arnaldi | 64c | 421.59$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Nuno Borges | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Nuno Borges | 72c | 398.16$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.17 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3e56backed Nuno Borges | 52c | 387.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 658 | 40.9%269 W · 389 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…d51ebacked Nuno Borges | 25c | 363.48$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.58 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…84d1backed Nuno Borges | 60c | 351.04$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Nuno Borges | 46c | 350$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 523 | 41.5%217 W · 306 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Nuno Borges | 46c | 343.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.23 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Nuno Borges | 11c | 319.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nuno Borges | 46c | 312.96$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.81 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Nuno Borges | 42c | 311.58$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.86 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Nuno Borges | 32c | 310.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Matteo Arnaldi | 50c | 299.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 336 | 47.3%159 W · 177 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed Matteo Arnaldi | 57c | 297.89$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.89 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Nuno Borges | 31c | 296.79$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.36 | 506 | 44.9%227 W · 279 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Matteo Arnaldi | 53c | 294.18$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.48 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Nuno Borges | 36c | 285.87$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.96 | 369 | 44.4%164 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Matteo Arnaldi | 71c | 280.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.24 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Nuno Borges | 54c | 276.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.96 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa5…63afbacked Nuno Borges | 11c | 276.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 10.3%8 W · 70 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Matteo Arnaldi | 60c | 272$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.65 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942d…896cbacked Nuno Borges | 48c | 227.17$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Nuno Borges | 71c | 219.95$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Nuno Borges | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked Nuno Borges | 49c | 203.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.52 | 173 | 52%90 W · 83 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784e…6029backed Nuno Borges | 15c | 202.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Nuno Borges | 53c | 201.9$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.13 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 15c | 201.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.53 | 146 | 13.7%20 W · 126 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Nuno Borges | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Nuno Borges | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 481 | 44.5%214 W · 267 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cee…0d1ebacked Nuno Borges | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 63c | 174.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.74 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 47c | 167$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74c…1f49backed Matteo Arnaldi | 75c | 166.66$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 146 | 74%108 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 75cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Nuno Borges | 38c | 166.49$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Nuno Borges | 40c | 163.91$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.89 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…cbc9backed Matteo Arnaldi | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae9…5b36backed Nuno Borges | 77c | 159.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.19 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b9…9ab5backed Matteo Arnaldi | 69c | 159.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 212 | 56.1%119 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Nuno Borges | 64c | 157.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ff…3214backed Nuno Borges | 26c | 152$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 384 | 22.4%86 W · 298 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Nuno Borges | 53c | 149.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.49 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Nuno Borges | 44c | 147.47$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 546 | 34.4%188 W · 358 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…f3a3backed Nuno Borges | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +181.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Nuno Borgesthis page
- Arnaldi vs. Borges: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Arnaldi vs. Borges: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Matteo Arnaldi vs. Nuno Borges: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Arnaldi vs BorgesArnaldi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.