MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcc80c71327327a53cb527a71fb3c97b4f89d7a991ca819669327300db4d6a79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Tampa Bay Rays, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $550,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $576,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $550,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Cleveland Guardians | 0c | 106,940$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.94 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 99,999$46,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,999.44 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 40,679$21,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,973.7 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 39,296$19,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,671.07 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 34,388$18,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,569.57 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 25,545$14,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,049.94 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Cleveland Guardians | 0c | 23,189$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 68c | 22,870$15,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,223.33 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 21,000$11,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,340 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 17,919$9,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,676.08 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 16,261$7,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,943.55 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 11,000$5,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,940 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 10,500$5,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,356.9 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f28…707dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 9,879$4,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,433.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 9,103$5,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,012.94 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 8,456$4,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,458.68 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 8,029$4,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,694.31 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 7,840$3,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,454.96 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Cleveland Guardians | 13c | 7,814$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.69 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 7,574$3,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,396.36 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 5,354$2,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,834.53 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 5,318$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,964.08 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.83 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…c8d3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 68c | 4,055$2,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.01 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 3,724$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.83 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 3,551$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.28 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Cleveland Guardians | 15c | 3,550$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.95 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 3,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 3,233$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.71 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 2,899$1,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.55 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 2,772$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.89 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Tampa Bay Rays | 66c | 2,623$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.65 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 2,432$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.19 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 2,352$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.31 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 2,268$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.57 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ff…bf01backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 2,100$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 2,066$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.4 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 2,058$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.05 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 2,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.1 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.97 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 1,937$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.58 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 1,884$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.82 | 1,140 | 43%490 W · 650 L | -37.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Cleveland Guardians | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 1,214$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.52 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…ed1fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 1,160$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 1,144$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.53 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 1,110$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 1,080$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 1,079$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.72 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd11f…48a6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 2c | 983.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 83 | 4.8%4 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 935.54$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.19 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…eababacked Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 901.25$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.25 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 900$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.66 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 846.2$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.97 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 774.13$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.7 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 772.64$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.04 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0da…67cdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 32c | 753$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Cleveland Guardians | 12c | 741.8$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.64 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 725$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.5 | 389 | 56.8%221 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 724.06$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.38 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 712.21$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.36 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f6…615bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 70c | 698.68$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 688.77$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.52 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 648.15$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 548.28$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.91 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 540$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.6 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 22c | 519.55$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.58 | 138 | 18.8%26 W · 112 L | -17.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 506.19$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.47 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 499.98$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…c3b9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 478.26$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.26 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 478.06$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.1 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 465.3$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.89 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 454.26$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.25 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 450$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 428$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.4 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…3271backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 29c | 370.06$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.62 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 359.72$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.65 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 350$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cleveland Guardians | 27c | 350$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.44 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 345.45$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 330$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.2 | 201 | 38.8%78 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 324$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.98 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 317.03$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.03 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…5200backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 310.92$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.57 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 309.93$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.46 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 295.17$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.39 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 288.54$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.81 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cd…9740backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 280$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland GuardiansNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.