NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c63ed63b1b608a331ec1aeb931b5c3b0784c01c074f451475be00124b59901c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Raptors, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,970,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,016,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,970,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,490 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c80…02c3backed Raptors | 24c | 711,739$170,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170,817.26 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cavaliers | 76c | 189,999$144,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,599.81 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Cavaliers | 71c | 176,540$125,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,835.96 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Cavaliers | 76c | 157,869$119,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,888.54 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cavaliers | 64c | 155,720$99,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,384.46 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Raptors | 23c | 139,574$32,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,102.12 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Raptors | 23c | 133,865$30,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,788.99 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Cavaliers | 77c | 109,212$84,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,795.32 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Raptors | 51c | 108,599$55,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,900 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Cavaliers | 77c | 100,124$77,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,028.43 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cavaliers | 68c | 99,358$67,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,133.87 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Raptors | 22c | 94,868$20,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,870.98 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Cavaliers | 68c | 73,880$49,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,924.52 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Cavaliers | 77c | 73,100$56,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,518.51 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Raptors | 23c | 69,214$16,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,119.3 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Cavaliers | 66c | 66,120$43,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,497.26 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Raptors | 24c | 62,500$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cavaliers | 67c | 53,379$35,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,693.99 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Cavaliers | 58c | 52,880$30,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,209.8 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…8060backed Raptors | 24c | 50,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Raptors | 28c | 48,857$13,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,630.18 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Cavaliers | 77c | 45,555$35,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,477.64 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Raptors | 42c | 41,274$17,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,497.83 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…5e8abacked Cavaliers | 77c | 40,000$30,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,200 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Raptors | 1c | 40,000$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.82 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Cavaliers | 64c | 37,702$24,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,696.72 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Cavaliers | 76c | 36,000$27,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,639.96 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Raptors | 30c | 30,549$9,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,136.6 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Raptors | 44c | 28,227$12,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,405.57 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cavaliers | 76c | 25,000$19,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Raptors | 9c | 23,653$2,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.25 | 141 | 7.8%11 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 76c | 22,150$16,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,334.55 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Raptors | 11c | 21,932$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Cavaliers | 76c | 20,000$15,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Raptors | 42c | 19,600$8,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,321.99 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Cavaliers | 65c | 19,170$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,670.23 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Cavaliers | 77c | 18,130$13,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,169.9 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8302…f88abacked Raptors | 24c | 18,041$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Raptors | 28c | 18,000$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,039.99 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Cavaliers | 79c | 17,600$13,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,624.07 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Raptors | 30c | 16,484$4,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,885 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4900…4a72backed Cavaliers | 76c | 15,131$11,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,619.46 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -12.5wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Cavaliers | 77c | 15,000$11,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cavaliers | 77c | 14,576$11,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,370.97 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Raptors | 35c | 14,110$4,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,895.72 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Raptors | 9c | 13,062$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.86 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed Cavaliers | 63c | 12,831$8,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,731.14 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Cavaliers | 64c | 12,813$8,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,587.14 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0d…90c0backed Raptors | 24c | 12,597$3,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,017.31 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Raptors | 0c | 12,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cavaliers | 65c | 11,823$7,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,087.07 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Cavaliers | 69c | 11,581$7,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,605.91 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Raptors | 20c | 11,457$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,338.15 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…db79backed Raptors | 28c | 10,743$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Cavaliers | 68c | 10,600$7,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,394.97 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96dd…17febacked Raptors | 24c | 10,417$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Raptors | 0c | 10,400$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cavaliers | 67c | 10,278$6,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,403.13 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…cbb1backed Cavaliers | 77c | 10,083$7,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.31 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…8a3cbacked Raptors | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Raptors | 26c | 9,727$2,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,568.42 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Raptors | 24c | 9,550$2,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,292 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Cavaliers | 77c | 9,415$7,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,165.44 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x888a…19ffbacked Raptors | 2c | 9,170$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…db47backed Raptors | 2c | 9,167$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.58 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…9837backed Cavaliers | 77c | 8,844$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.64 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…5ee3backed Raptors | 23c | 8,316$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.64 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Raptors | 23c | 8,299$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.09 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Raptors | 10c | 8,161$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.83 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cavaliers | 57c | 8,000$4,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,440 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Raptors | 10c | 7,639$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Raptors | 16c | 7,505$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.25 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cavaliers | 77c | 7,500$5,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Cavaliers | 71c | 7,484$5,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,207.48 | 171 | 62.6%107 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb828…2cabbacked Raptors | 23c | 7,246$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.69 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers | 62c | 6,668$4,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,514.75 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed Cavaliers | 77c | 6,350$4,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.5 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Raptors | 37c | 6,258$2,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294.48 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors | 24c | 6,200$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Raptors | 21c | 6,000$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.99 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3de4…b032backed Raptors | 42c | 5,990$2,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,545.75 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…c914backed Raptors | 27c | 5,926$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.6 | 92 | 20.7%19 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Cavaliers | 78c | 5,815$4,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.89 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Raptors | 27c | 5,630$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Cavaliers | 77c | 5,520$4,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.6 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Cavaliers | 60c | 5,318$3,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.3 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbedd…7605backed Raptors | 48c | 5,236$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,504.69 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Cavaliers | 57c | 5,201$2,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.46 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Raptors | 1c | 5,068$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Cavaliers | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Cavaliers | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…8da4backed Cavaliers | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…d215backed Raptors | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Raptors | 32c | 5,000$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.99 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46bc…2d14backed Raptors | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Cavaliers | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.97 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Raptors | 23c | 4,997$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.34 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Raptors | 24c | 4,840$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.6 | 100 | 22%22 W · 78 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…3a21backed Raptors | 24c | 4,810$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.07 | 259 | 47.5%123 W · 136 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 69c | 4,729$3,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.74 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Cavaliersthis page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Raptors won
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Raptors won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 245.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 254.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 256.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 259.5Under won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-1.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.