TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$237,892
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$251,771

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,892 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Under45c129,222$58,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,149.9154539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Under45c70,000$31,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,499.993240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1333…e463backed Over55c66,241$36,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,808.424438.6%17 W · 27 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-30.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over55c45,026$24,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,363.7764948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Over55c33,835$18,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,225.910860.2%65 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+109.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over55c15,000$8,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,75066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5007963.3%50 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc0c0…a6e7backed Over55c6,810$3,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,064.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.36per pick52cpaid-69.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over55c4,653$2,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,098.96,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Over55c3,455$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.552653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under48c2,968$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.7765045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over50c2,782$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.6369848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Over55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.185935.6%21 W · 38 L-8.3wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2e01…0875backed Over55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.183943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over55c1,764$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.841,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ac5…cd3dbacked Over55c1,682$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.82933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over55c1,477$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.0866352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Under49c1,260$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.625657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under46c1,100$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.741,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c72…78edbacked Under46c1,076$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4954346.5%20 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf003…08cdbacked Over55c1,009$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.091457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Over54c999.96$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.9811757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x208a…441ebacked Over55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.095347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa663…eceabacked Over55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.092142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over55c836.36$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.3695452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Over55c731.76$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.295442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over55c700$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31532450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under9c644.45$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.021,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over55c640$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28821653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2708148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.457146.5%33 W · 38 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2567…fc9dbacked Over55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.452045%9 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22579650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under48c419.98$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.5952951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under45c419.44$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.0617643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67d0…db7abacked Over53c377$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.191637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3721147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Over55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6436450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd116…4317backed Under3c357.14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under47c354.78$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.7521443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Over55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7314443.8%63 W · 81 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over55c225$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.2542853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Over55c218.18$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.1827549.5%136 W · 139 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over50c214$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10710552.4%55 W · 50 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27ca…e628backed Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under46c199.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9215543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over55c190.91$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.915549.1%27 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa422…d210backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.827243.1%31 W · 41 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8226755.1%147 W · 120 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8218552.4%97 W · 88 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeedb…f631backed Over55c130$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.54944.9%22 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Over55c127.8$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.827251.1%139 W · 133 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed Over55c127.27$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2715055.3%83 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under45c123.04$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.371,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Over48c109.8$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0949244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3582…8fc6backed Under46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507332.9%24 W · 49 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Under47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033246.1%153 W · 179 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf16…b409backed Under47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Over50c101.96$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4647738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4556154.5%306 W · 255 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd52f…88fabacked Under52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.565850%29 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cbc…1d39backed Over50c90$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4511850.8%60 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed Over55c86$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.73857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under29c67.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.443,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bd6…bf96backed Under50c62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3123051.3%118 W · 112 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1fe…1cfdbacked Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302763%17 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x60a5…f52ebacked Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3022453.1%119 W · 105 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2171752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7492…6568backed Over55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5531955.2%176 W · 143 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ed…f28dbacked Under51c47.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over49c47.06$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2418653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4560346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e5…1dd0backed Under51c39.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2041654.8%228 W · 188 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under47c38.7$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1217043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0436350.1%182 W · 181 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x258b…270ebacked Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3617748%85 W · 92 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3614844.6%66 W · 82 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc96b…438abacked Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.364856.3%27 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.262049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Under46c32.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512160.3%73 W · 48 L+13.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4855…6a41backed Over55c29.09$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0910246.1%47 W · 55 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over52c28.35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.611,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x25e6…74a9backed Under51c27.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146541.5%27 W · 38 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb442…69afbacked Over55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.27475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98bd…781ebacked Over55c22.4$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.084254.8%23 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa051…67b9backed Under46c21.76$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.011711.8%2 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.23per pick35cpaid-76.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under50c20.85$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.391,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5669…ee66backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x086c…4932backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105056%28 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf9f…1390backed Over55c19.04$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.572231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-36.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8e59…cc2ebacked Over80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.52638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.