NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9e05428c8a56309d6d29af7f14a019712b958475f720a7012f3324f1600fa73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $237,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $251,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 45c | 129,222$58,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,149.91 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 45c | 70,000$31,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,499.99 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…e463backed Over | 55c | 66,241$36,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,808.42 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 55c | 45,026$24,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,363.77 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Over | 55c | 33,835$18,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,225.9 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…a6e7backed Over | 55c | 6,810$3,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 55c | 4,653$2,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,098.9 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Over | 55c | 3,455$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.55 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 48c | 2,968$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.77 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 50c | 2,782$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.63 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Over | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…0875backed Over | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 55c | 1,764$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.84 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac5…cd3dbacked Over | 55c | 1,682$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.82 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 55c | 1,477$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.08 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Under | 49c | 1,260$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.6 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 1,100$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.74 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…78edbacked Under | 46c | 1,076$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf003…08cdbacked Over | 55c | 1,009$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.09 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 54c | 999.96$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.98 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x208a…441ebacked Over | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa663…eceabacked Over | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 55c | 836.36$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.36 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Over | 55c | 731.76$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.29 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 55c | 700$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 9c | 644.45$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.02 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over | 55c | 640$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…fc9dbacked Over | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 48c | 419.98$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.59 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 45c | 419.44$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.06 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67d0…db7abacked Over | 53c | 377$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.19 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd116…4317backed Under | 3c | 357.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 47c | 354.78$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.75 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Over | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 55c | 225$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Over | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Over | 50c | 214$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 55c | 190.91$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.91 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa422…d210backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 185 | 52.4%97 W · 88 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeedb…f631backed Over | 55c | 130$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Over | 55c | 127.8$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Over | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 123.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Over | 48c | 109.8$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.09 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3582…8fc6backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf16…b409backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 50c | 101.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 561 | 54.5%306 W · 255 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52f…88fabacked Under | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Over | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Over | 55c | 86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 29c | 67.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Under | 50c | 62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 230 | 51.3%118 W · 112 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fe…1cfdbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…6568backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 319 | 55.2%176 W · 143 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ed…f28dbacked Under | 51c | 47.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 49c | 47.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e5…1dd0backed Under | 51c | 39.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 416 | 54.8%228 W · 188 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 47c | 38.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258b…270ebacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Under | 46c | 32.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +13.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Over | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 52c | 28.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25e6…74a9backed Under | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…69afbacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…781ebacked Over | 55c | 22.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…67b9backed Under | 46c | 21.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 50c | 20.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5669…ee66backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x086c…4932backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9f…1390backed Over | 55c | 19.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e59…cc2ebacked Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Raptors won
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Raptors won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Raptors vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 245.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 254.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 256.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 259.5Under won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-1.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.