NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c4901a30f768f6b60d32e5de0f82603d4badb2935de64d6feb3264dec91aca5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Cavaliers, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $328,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $330,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $328,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Raptors | 45c | 71,782$32,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,256.6 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers | 51c | 70,251$36,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,077.62 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Raptors | 46c | 33,644$15,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,167.62 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Cavaliers | 52c | 17,145$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Raptors | 44c | 16,025$7,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,934.69 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Cavaliers | 54c | 15,555$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,399.7 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Raptors | 48c | 14,884$7,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,739.61 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Cavaliers | 27c | 12,448$3,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,361.01 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Cavaliers | 1c | 10,572$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.72 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Cavaliers | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cavaliers | 48c | 8,020$3,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,832.75 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…63d6backed Cavaliers | 56c | 5,446$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Raptors | 47c | 5,426$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,875.53 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Raptors | 46c | 4,783$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,577.87 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Cavaliers | 55c | 4,601$2,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,510 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…0b09backed Cavaliers | 54c | 4,257$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Raptors | 74c | 4,224$3,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.9 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Cavaliers | 25c | 4,208$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.21 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Cavaliers | 52c | 3,603$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.58 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers | 19c | 3,522$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.39 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x232e…fc46backed Cavaliers | 51c | 3,114$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Raptors | 53c | 3,072$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.63 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9669…7884backed Raptors | 49c | 3,069$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.06 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc1…f56cbacked Raptors | 49c | 3,046$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f1…e6f4backed Cavaliers | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.11 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Cavaliers | 51c | 2,900$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Raptors | 49c | 2,851$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.73 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Raptors | 78c | 2,571$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.48 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 74c | 2,571$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.2 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Raptors | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4a…f216backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,105$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Raptors | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.99 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 1,970$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.9 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Cavaliers | 55c | 1,909$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Raptors | 67c | 1,596$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.9 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Raptors | 76c | 1,594$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.22 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cavaliers | 56c | 1,523$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.92 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,486$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.62 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Cavaliers | 54c | 1,481$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe7…68f3backed Cavaliers | 56c | 1,339$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3b…0230backed Raptors | 61c | 1,145$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.44 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Raptors | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.99 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Cavaliers | 18c | 1,076$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.94 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8a…a5bcbacked Raptors | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Raptors | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Raptors | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cavaliers | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Raptors | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cavaliers | 54c | 999.94$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.49 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Raptors | 45c | 924.47$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.84 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…728abacked Cavaliers | 54c | 920$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.8 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Cavaliers | 54c | 903.74$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.22 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Cavaliers | 55c | 900$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Cavaliers | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 47c | 834$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.62 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Raptors | 45c | 800$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Cavaliers | 53c | 758.71$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.01 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Cavaliers | 56c | 715.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Raptors | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Raptors | 47c | 650$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.5 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Cavaliers | 54c | 648.15$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Cavaliers | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Raptors | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2018…dfc5backed Cavaliers | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Cavaliers | 55c | 534.55$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…b49abacked Raptors | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Cavaliers | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Cavaliers | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…bf45backed Cavaliers | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Cavaliers | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Cavaliers | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 445$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.75 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Cavaliers | 54c | 438.15$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.7 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Raptors | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 54c | 414.58$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.24 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea4…ea06backed Raptors | 48c | 405.83$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.03 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec2d…896cbacked Raptors | 54c | 399.98$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.99 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Cavaliers | 43c | 394.73$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.32 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…3d9dbacked Raptors | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 362 | 48.1%174 W · 188 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Raptors | 46c | 349.99$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.99 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…e303backed Raptors | 70c | 342.86$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Raptors | 55c | 333.95$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.28 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed Raptors | 59c | 333.9$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.9 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Cavaliers | 18c | 313$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.34 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Raptors | 55c | 304.26$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.92 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Cavaliers | 45c | 302.03$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.93 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…eda7backed Raptors | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Raptors | 50c | 283.7$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.06 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Cavaliers | 53c | 273.58$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Raptors | 46c | 250.3$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.63 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…884abacked Raptors | 47c | 234.04$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.04 | 258 | 50%129 W · 129 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Raptors | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…c916backed Raptors | 46c | 216.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.9 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Raptors | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…f4cbbacked Raptors | 47c | 212.76$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.78 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Raptors | 50c | 212.04$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.02 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Cavaliers | 20c | 203.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Cavaliers | 20c | 203.92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 259 | 58.3%151 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Raptors won
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Raptors won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Raptors vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 245.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 254.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 256.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 259.5Under won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-1.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.