TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2567…fc9d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
177
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 53 out of 100; worst Euroleague at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT12349.6%61 W · 62 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 123 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
World Cup Goals H2H: Haaland vs. Alvarezbacked Haaland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$168.75
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Egypt be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$425
Will USA be the worst-placed host nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Egypt reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+213.8%+$213.75
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+84.6%+$169.27
Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$59.09
Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Iran be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will DR Congo be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will DR Congo finish last in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will New Zealand finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$347.46
Showing 25 of 123 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+141%+$281.94
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$133.33
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Raptors vs. Cavaliers backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.98
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$288.24
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.05
Magic vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 104.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+93.9%+$281.57
NBA Playoffs: Raptors vs. Cavaliers Total Games O/U 5.5backed Over 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$967Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+122.5%+$1,184.98
NBA Playoffs: Pistons vs. Magic Total Games O/U 5.5backed Over 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$34.59
NBA Playoffs: Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Total Games O/U 5.5backed Under 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.99
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$481.32
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$245.45
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
NBA Playoffs: Suns vs. Thunder Total Games O/U 4.5backed Over 4.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,065Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,064.67
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.96
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+150%+$144.6
All 20 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Antalyaspor vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$222.58
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Kocaelispor: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+101.1%+$101.1
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.9
Beşiktaş JK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$365.02
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)backed Fenerbahçe SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$55.79
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)backed Fenerbahçe SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,337Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,337.2
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)backed Fenerbahçe SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,084Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$1,083.82
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-72%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11,282Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$13,788.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$293.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.