Fifa International · resolved market
Will New Zealand finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0fe65a96ad140b234a0b5ea5412b61c4b85108dbd98c9c8ea5f0871f6bc46b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 41c | 15,000$6,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,149.94 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x557e…5007backed Yes | 58c | 9,557$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,057.84 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdde…c019backed Yes | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 62c | 1,836$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.34 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked Yes | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed No | 41c | 1,113$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.26 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 15c | 855.07$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.07 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…fc9dbacked Yes | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 3c | 756$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 60c | 661.44$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.63 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 78c | 653.96$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.38 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 60c | 600$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 471 | 27.8%131 W · 340 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 43c | 417.31$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.55 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed No | 42c | 357.34$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.06 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 59c | 350$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.5 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Yes | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Yes | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 208 | 41.3%86 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…f2f5backed Yes | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked No | 23c | 247$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 226 | 23.5%53 W · 173 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x668f…05f3backed Yes | 59c | 222$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…be6fbacked Yes | 51c | 190.26$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.71 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 18c | 178$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf47e…5031backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9abc…f21ebacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 56c | 153$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.42 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…3706backed Yes | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 27c | 146.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed Yes | 68c | 145.17$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.46 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 38c | 138.15$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…f51fbacked Yes | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed No | 43c | 127.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 28c | 127.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 43c | 120$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 31c | 120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86df…7d27backed Yes | 59c | 101.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…6070backed No | 39c | 100.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…6b2bbacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…9e76backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 36cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…b108backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 43c | 94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed No | 57c | 91.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…3772backed No | 42c | 75.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0295…ed9dbacked Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 59c | 57.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5955…c480backed Yes | 59c | 57.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaf…7d88backed Yes | 59c | 56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 61c | 52.13$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…8e54backed Yes | 58c | 52.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e15…d2c9backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…81c3backed Yes | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd46…38eebacked No | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -54%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Yes | 57c | 48.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e7…3182backed Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca0…7a8bbacked No | 44c | 45.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked No | 41c | 43.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x615c…e752backed Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x738a…5996backed No | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 467 | 43.3%202 W · 265 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes | 37c | 39.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a5…6a89backed Yes | 59c | 38.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82ce…e92abacked No | 38c | 38.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 38c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Yes | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 61c | 34.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ab…5fb4backed Yes | 59c | 34.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb9…49debacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…0da7backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6c…3b98backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8f…266bbacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 123 | 36.6%45 W · 78 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…0f69backed Yes | 59c | 33.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x369c…eab1backed Yes | 50c | 31.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a50…edb1backed Yes | 58c | 29.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 44c | 29.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 43c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55dc…19a3backed No | 41c | 27.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea7…d0d3backed Yes | 55c | 27.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed No | 38c | 26.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…e924backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf47a…624cbacked Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb326…d18bbacked Yes | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…a3acbacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…4142backed Yes | 63c | 23.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Yes | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…ffd2backed Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 198 | 74.7%148 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…61b8backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…7b42backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…70b2backed Yes | 58c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New Zealand finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?this page
- Will Belgium finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
- Will Egypt finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
- Will Iran finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.