TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb2e7…3182

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
110
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT6864.7%44 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.5
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+40%+$6
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.08
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$25.84
1H Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.57
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.33
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$5.01
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$3.87
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$145.91
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$4.17
Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 12.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+44.1%+$8.83
Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+34.6%+$4.15
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+45.8%+$12.83
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+27.5%+$4.13
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+36.4%+$4
Cavaliers vs. Kingsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.43
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L-0.1wins0.00per pick75cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$2.56
Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$47.23
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Elsa Jacquemot vs Hanyu Guobacked Hanyu Guo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$19.9
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Yibing Wubacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
La Bisbal: Xinyu Wang vs Alina Charaevabacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.28
Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.94
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Pedro Martinez vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.05
Qatar Total Open: Iga Swiatek vs Maria Sakkaribacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.27
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+35.1%+$60.53
Australian Open Women's: Sijia Wei vs Elvina Kalievabacked Kalieva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+42.9%+$36
All 12 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick69cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PARIVISION win DreamLeague Season 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+83.1%+$41.57
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$18.82
Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$4.3
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Team Resilience (BO1) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffsbacked Team Refuser · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$40.43
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$33.15
Dota 2: Heroic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$5.42
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs. Xtreme Gamingbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$17.22
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs. BetBoom Teambacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$56.67
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.7%+$45.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+36.7%+$8.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+32.2%+$36.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.