Euroleague · resolved market
Qingdao Eagles vs. Tianjin Pioneers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8149c6765bcc8ceb793c3d2b2c84f3d77acb130f4b274e92d8f398550d712ec9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Qingdao Eaglesof Qingdao Eagles, Tianjin Pioneers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9412…b9ebbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 17c | 9,634$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8e…f961backed Tianjin Pioneers | 30c | 3,101$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Qingdao Eagles | 79c | 3,072$2,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.74 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Tianjin Pioneers | 16c | 2,559$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.81 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +71%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Qingdao Eagles | 79c | 1,611$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.86 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Qingdao Eagles | 71c | 1,299$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.02 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Tianjin Pioneers | 6c | 1,088$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.11 | 86 | 11.6%10 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Tianjin Pioneers | 17c | 741.95$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.57 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Tianjin Pioneers | 24c | 531.54$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.24 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Qingdao Eagles | 70c | 513.38$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.01 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Tianjin Pioneers | 42c | 455.91$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.1 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Qingdao Eagles | 77c | 451.6$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.96 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Qingdao Eagles | 78c | 411.34$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.03 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…f4d4backed Tianjin Pioneers | 10c | 352.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 25c | 351.83$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.55 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Tianjin Pioneers | 27c | 332.55$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.65 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Tianjin Pioneers | 21c | 318.83$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.38 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Tianjin Pioneers | 33c | 317.86$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.04 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 13c | 299.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 13c | 288.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Tianjin Pioneers | 25c | 280.04$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.09 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Tianjin Pioneers | 35c | 266$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.13 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Tianjin Pioneers | 17c | 223.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…c1bbbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 17c | 182.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4693…bf61backed Tianjin Pioneers | 36c | 171.81$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Tianjin Pioneers | 21c | 171.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Qingdao Eagles | 76c | 162.15$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…5cddbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 9c | 154.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed Tianjin Pioneers | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…b42dbacked Qingdao Eagles | 79c | 124.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb812…076ebacked Tianjin Pioneers | 26c | 110.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed Tianjin Pioneers | 10c | 108.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Tianjin Pioneers | 25c | 98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8c…3d1abacked Qingdao Eagles | 48c | 96.88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…d2c8backed Qingdao Eagles | 71c | 91.17$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Tianjin Pioneers | 33c | 86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Qingdao Eagles | 71c | 80.8$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Tianjin Pioneers | 20c | 78.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…2befbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 29c | 77.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tianjin Pioneers | 15c | 69.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…7c4ebacked Qingdao Eagles | 65c | 67.86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 61 | 16.4%10 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Qingdao Eagles | 55c | 66.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Qingdao Eagles | 55c | 60.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 29c | 54.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Tianjin Pioneers | 25c | 53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed Qingdao Eagles | 64c | 51.62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Qingdao Eagles | 55c | 49.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Qingdao Eagles | 71c | 41.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Tianjin Pioneers | 28c | 39.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f7…ada9backed Qingdao Eagles | 53c | 38.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Qingdao Eagles | 61c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Qingdao Eagles | 78c | 30.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 39c | 30.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…522fbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 49c | 30.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked Tianjin Pioneers | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e7…3182backed Qingdao Eagles | 72c | 17.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9d…5483backed Qingdao Eagles | 78c | 15.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Qingdao Eagles | 74c | 14.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.