NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Spurs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x726a9be9bb0a797e69e1e741cd29e5694ecf8cbbb6722419c392c9a78e4c766f

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Nuggetsof Nuggets, Spurs
Resolved: Mar 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $5,858,292

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,858,292 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,624 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets	38c	196,961$73,951 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123,010	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Nuggets	38c	195,394$73,418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121,975.92	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a57…2afabacked Nuggets	43c	194,627$83,689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110,938.33	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Spurs	56c	192,590$107,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107,850.41	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Nuggets	43c	188,355$81,123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107,231.54	232	57.8%134 W · 98 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Spurs	57c	145,792$83,098 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83,097.81	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Nuggets	38c	131,192$50,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81,192.25	365	49.6%181 W · 184 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Spurs	64c	127,619$81,276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81,276.17	207	44%91 W · 116 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa491…3177backed Nuggets	43c	116,282$50,290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65,992.91	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Spurs	50c	107,336$53,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53,180.16	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Spurs	0c	91,231$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.23	169	19.5%33 W · 136 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Nuggets	13c	90,875$12,196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78,678.96	231	47.6%110 W · 121 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14cc…7c02backed Nuggets	36c	90,844$33,086 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57,757.82	138	42.8%59 W · 79 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Nuggets	43c	78,810$33,984 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44,826.74	344	56.7%195 W · 149 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs	59c	75,579$44,669 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44,669.49	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Nuggets	47c	74,191$34,964 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39,227.51	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nuggets	59c	70,000$40,980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,019.97	964	47.8%461 W · 503 L	+35.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Spurs	57c	66,813$38,084 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38,083.69	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Nuggets	41c	65,080$26,861 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38,218.8	116	53.4%62 W · 54 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Spurs	65c	58,004$37,608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,607.51	325	40.3%131 W · 194 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Nuggets	43c	56,554$24,516 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,037.82	172	51.7%89 W · 83 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Spurs	59c	56,334$33,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,199.85	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Spurs	58c	56,021$32,716 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,715.54	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Spurs	62c	54,704$33,835 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,835	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Spurs	57c	50,820$28,825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,824.75	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Spurs	57c	50,676$28,882 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,881.61	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Spurs	66c	49,990$32,908 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,907.66	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Spurs	58c	49,807$28,886 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,885.58	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Spurs	57c	49,762$28,363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,362.59	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Spurs	56c	48,032$26,898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,897.98	286	49.7%142 W · 144 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Spurs	71c	46,662$32,997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,996.64	102	39.2%40 W · 62 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Spurs	0c	43,888$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.78	83	45.8%38 W · 45 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs	62c	39,436$24,322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,321.82	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Nuggets	35c	35,995$12,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,544.64	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f3b…d0b8backed Nuggets	18c	35,668$6,548 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,119.93	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+41.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Spurs	57c	35,500$20,235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,234.96	404	46.8%189 W · 215 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Spurs	75c	34,494$26,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,029.12	78	69.2%54 W · 24 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	70cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd9d…b730backed Nuggets	43c	33,333$14,333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,999.81	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad2b…f091backed Nuggets	28c	32,986$9,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,665.35	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebe5…b317backed Spurs	63c	31,735$20,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,000	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Nuggets	14c	30,872$4,275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,596.89	84	29.8%25 W · 59 L	-6.5wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Spurs	67c	30,361$20,409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,408.81	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Nuggets	13c	29,879$3,884 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,994.67	282	41.1%116 W · 166 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Nuggets	38c	29,362$11,052 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,309.8	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfec8…50f7backed Nuggets	43c	28,898$12,321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,577.45	55	67.3%37 W · 18 L	+6.2wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Nuggets	43c	27,414$11,788 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,626.08	316	44.6%141 W · 175 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Spurs	58c	26,899$15,714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,713.79	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Spurs	57c	25,991$14,814 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,813.98	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Spurs	58c	25,209$14,659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,659.31	352	51.1%180 W · 172 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Spurs	60c	25,021$15,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,000	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-5.0wins	-0.20per pick	52cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Spurs	58c	23,296$13,516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,516.24	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Nuggets	43c	22,657$9,760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,897	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+4.1wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Spurs	56c	22,335$12,508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,507.66	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	+4.0wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+34.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Nuggets	25c	21,932$5,538 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,394.44	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Spurs	41c	21,331$8,744 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,744.18	815	29.4%240 W · 575 L	-37.0wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-43%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Spurs	56c	20,004$11,132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,132.22	418	32.8%137 W · 281 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Spurs	1c	20,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa25d…2227backed Spurs	63c	20,000$12,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,600	106	41.5%44 W · 62 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Nuggets	43c	20,000$8,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,399.99	375	39.5%148 W · 227 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Spurs	65c	19,339$12,507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,506.98	77	59.7%46 W · 31 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf41a…b386backed Nuggets	30c	19,331$5,864 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,466.58	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	+4.2wins	+0.11per pick	35cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets	39c	18,971$7,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,571.44	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Nuggets	44c	18,410$8,099 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,310.72	272	51.1%139 W · 133 L	+10.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x853e…0d8cbacked Nuggets	38c	18,056$6,901 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,154.78	120	42.5%51 W · 69 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Spurs	63c	17,581$11,044 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,043.51	224	53.1%119 W · 105 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ae5…ead2backed Spurs	57c	17,544$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	52	48.1%25 W · 27 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Spurs	60c	17,452$10,418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,418.21	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd79f…f1f2backed Nuggets	14c	16,805$2,414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,390.5	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+2.0wins	+0.22per pick	22cpaid	+85%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Spurs	57c	16,748$9,546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,546.19	296	50.3%149 W · 147 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Spurs	67c	16,000$10,795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,794.68	292	50%146 W · 146 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb27…b605backed Nuggets	35c	15,383$5,460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,922.82	113	43.4%49 W · 64 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Nuggets	33c	15,000$4,979 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,021.33	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76cb…55d3backed Nuggets	34c	14,669$4,987 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,681.8	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Nuggets	36c	14,524$5,179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,344.34	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Spurs	76c	14,351$10,860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,859.87	127	40.9%52 W · 75 L	-15.3wins	-0.12per pick	53cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Spurs	12c	14,100$1,704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,703.99	596	46.1%275 W · 321 L	-16.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Spurs	65c	14,036$9,133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,132.66	423	48%203 W · 220 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Nuggets	44c	13,899$6,116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,783.44	209	47.8%100 W · 109 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb624…de17backed Nuggets	28c	13,719$3,819 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,899.67	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-26%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Spurs	58c	13,511$7,835 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,835.41	264	44.7%118 W · 146 L	-15.8wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Spurs	56c	13,178$7,431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,430.79	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7960…734dbacked Nuggets	16c	12,723$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,723.06	36	69.4%25 W · 11 L	+4.9wins	+0.13per pick	56cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Spurs	63c	12,547$7,905 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,904.79	196	45.9%90 W · 106 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Nuggets	42c	12,500$5,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,249.99	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Spurs	62c	12,345$7,609 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,609.05	185	53%98 W · 87 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Nuggets	28c	12,271$3,426 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,844.71	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Spurs	59c	11,917$7,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,000	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1632…cb68backed Nuggets	42c	11,424$4,759 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,664.84	50	40%20 W · 30 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Nuggets	35c	11,160$3,876 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,284.01	170	42.4%72 W · 98 L	+8.1wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Spurs	55c	11,000$6,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,049.97	584	49.7%290 W · 294 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Spurs	63c	10,841$6,882 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,882.37	94	40.4%38 W · 56 L	-5.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d2…cc46backed Nuggets	29c	10,755$3,104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,650.21	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+3.7wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+29%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Nuggets	35c	10,717$3,760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,957.66	298	58.7%175 W · 123 L	-8.5wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Spurs	68c	10,715$7,257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,256.83	348	51.7%180 W · 168 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Spurs	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	401	33.4%134 W · 267 L	+27.0wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Nuggets	51c	9,961$5,103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,857.24	853	44%375 W · 478 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Spurs	56c	9,808$5,525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,524.75	382	51%195 W · 187 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed Nuggets	43c	9,680$4,162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,517.6	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+4.4wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+27.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs	56c	9,466$5,304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,303.72	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Nuggets	60c	9,055$5,433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,622.06	80	36.3%29 W · 51 L	-8.1wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Nuggets vs. Spursthis page
1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 14.5No won
Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Christian Braun: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 10.5No won
Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Keldon Johnson: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Nuggets vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
Nuggets vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 238.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 239.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 240.5Over won
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Nuggets won
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 23.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Nuggets vs. Spurs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event