NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe8986053c682bf7bf775934353eb95ece8fa5bb6f1735b3749ec7f5e9dda554

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $58,000

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,000 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5aec…b4cebacked Under	47c	10,611$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	88	38.6%34 W · 54 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under	45c	5,061$2,277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,277.23	247	44.1%109 W · 138 L	-10.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under	51c	5,005$2,553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,552.64	398	42.5%169 W · 229 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	52c	4,796$2,507 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,288.51	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Over	55c	4,182$2,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,881.94	265	44.9%119 W · 146 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	50c	3,389$1,710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,679.19	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d30…8864backed Over	54c	2,971$1,604 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,366.66	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6959…5731backed Under	46c	2,955$1,359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,359.3	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a4a…41cbbacked Under	46c	2,879$1,324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,324.34	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40d7…9fadbacked Under	46c	2,785$1,281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,280.8	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ab6…9996backed Over	54c	2,700$1,461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,238.96	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d3…e6bfbacked Over	54c	2,664$1,439 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,225.44	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa452…9c2ebacked Under	46c	2,579$1,186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,186.34	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80cc…6fecbacked Under	46c	2,568$1,181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,181.28	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7703…bb08backed Over	54c	2,476$1,337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,138.96	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Over	54c	2,425$1,309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,115.84	172	50.6%87 W · 85 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	26c	1,656$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.44	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca18…9520backed Over	54c	1,387$749 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$638.02	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Under	29c	1,177$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.25	206	38.3%79 W · 127 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	79c	1,052$831 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.75	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f4…c48fbacked Over	49c	1,020$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520.41	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over	59c	1,013$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$412.79	159	52.8%84 W · 75 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	50c	977.72$493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$485.03	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Under	50c	844$422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$422	381	48.6%185 W · 196 L	-15.6wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2ae…74f1backed Over	54c	816$441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$375.36	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	52c	807.07$423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$383.82	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over	49c	799.99$392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$407.99	843	42.9%362 W · 481 L	-39.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed Over	78c	769.89$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.89	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcea7…90fabacked Over	54c	752$406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$345.92	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under	42c	729.17$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.96	475	42.3%201 W · 274 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	52c	608.04$316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$292.46	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Over	54c	547.45$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$251.58	233	48.9%114 W · 119 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6eb…5402backed Over	55c	547.11$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.11	111	59.5%66 W · 45 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over	54c	526$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.96	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over	51c	500$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245	331	50.8%168 W · 163 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over	56c	475$266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209	306	41.8%128 W · 178 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	49c	431.39$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.01	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	37c	361.04$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.12	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under	44c	340.31$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.47	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Over	57c	333.07$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.89	228	46.1%105 W · 123 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88a3…8362backed Under	7c	301.05$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.31per pick	19cpaid	+296.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under	51c	262.87$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.89	584	50.2%293 W · 291 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Under	49c	250.25$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.37	180	43.3%78 W · 102 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Under	43c	233.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	561	54.5%306 W · 255 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcda…78b1backed Under	15c	228.15$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.23	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa5…01b3backed Over	50c	200.4$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.4	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7753…cf56backed Under	11c	180$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	41c	171$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.11	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	53c	152.49$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.67	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Under	48c	146.33$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	190	47.4%90 W · 100 L	-9.3wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	52c	131.59$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.89	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Over	53c	127.05$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.13	203	50.2%102 W · 101 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	45c	111.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over	55c	110.91$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.91	277	46.6%129 W · 148 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under	20c	103.79$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.35	903	57%515 W · 388 L	+40.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Under	48c	100.57$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	555	33.5%186 W · 369 L	-15.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x366c…ec19backed Over	55c	95.29$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.88	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	-6.5wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over	77c	89.54$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.92	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cfd…1457backed Over	73c	75.77$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.77	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+2.1wins	+0.17per pick	58cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under	46c	75.38$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.67	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Under	35c	60$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.7	289	43.3%125 W · 164 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc605…fc49backed Over	68c	58.82$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.82	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under	45c	55.68$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	554	44.4%246 W · 308 L	-11.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2841…3c5abacked Over	49c	54$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.54	213	49.3%105 W · 108 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Under	46c	50.11$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	327	52.9%173 W · 154 L	+11.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x020f…d93abacked Under	51c	48.62$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.75	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Over	49c	43.12$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.99	329	52.9%174 W · 155 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	41c	43.08$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.66	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…08bbbacked Over	58c	41.28$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.34	87	44.8%39 W · 48 L	-4.6wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under	31c	35.92$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.04	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x026c…8d76backed Under	45c	35.63$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	69	46.4%32 W · 37 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x277c…e529backed Under	45c	31.16$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.99	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd155…0af4backed Over	51c	30.84$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.14	61	54.1%33 W · 28 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under	42c	30.66$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.88	609	45.8%279 W · 330 L	-17.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	73c	30$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.1	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over	68c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…6ae3backed Over	51c	29.68$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.57	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d12…37d5backed Over	54c	27.77$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.77	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under	48c	27.43$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.3	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabee…652ebacked Over	55c	20.63$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.28	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+81.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0707…310abacked Over	66c	20.08$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.73	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	464	47.8%222 W · 242 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5this page
1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 14.5No won
Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Christian Braun: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 10.5No won
Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Keldon Johnson: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Nuggets vs. SpursNuggets won
Nuggets vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
Nuggets vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 238.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 239.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 240.5Over won
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Nuggets won
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 23.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event