NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd4924d56b377ce47169a9a8f197da163388b90e5e012070826b7b33fda3bee9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Spurs, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,992 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Spurs | 41c | 36,504$14,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,966.75 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 58c | 21,906$12,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,291.42 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Nuggets | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,599.97 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 57c | 15,813$9,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,742.69 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Nuggets | 56c | 15,136$8,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,634.07 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Nuggets | 52c | 14,192$7,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,833.8 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nuggets | 57c | 10,244$5,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,371.93 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 48c | 9,757$4,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,690.22 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Spurs | 41c | 8,359$3,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,427.18 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Spurs | 46c | 8,208$3,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,775.72 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs | 46c | 5,595$2,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,572.66 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Spurs | 48c | 5,380$2,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,582.6 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Spurs | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Spurs | 48c | 4,353$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.44 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Spurs | 48c | 4,142$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Spurs | 52c | 3,847$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Spurs | 41c | 3,500$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.67 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 43c | 3,481$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.72 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nuggets | 51c | 2,789$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.64 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…a339backed Nuggets | 57c | 2,712$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.19 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca18…9520backed Nuggets | 49c | 2,285$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f7…00f9backed Spurs | 45c | 2,100$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.99 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Nuggets | 54c | 2,060$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.5 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Spurs | 48c | 2,018$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.47 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Spurs | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d67…af7dbacked Spurs | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +156%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Spurs | 47c | 1,789$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.76 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,666$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.36 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Nuggets | 58c | 1,507$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.05 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Nuggets | 56c | 1,500$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.82 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Spurs | 39c | 1,500$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,250$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6959…5731backed Spurs | 51c | 1,171$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,132$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.87 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,088$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.48 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf4…d0cfbacked Nuggets | 49c | 1,049$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.98 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Spurs | 42c | 1,037$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.81 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Spurs | 46c | 1,011$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.06 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Nuggets | 48c | 975$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Spurs | 43c | 930.3$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.78 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Spurs | 43c | 924.11$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.41 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Nuggets | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -15.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Spurs | 47c | 882$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.5 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Spurs | 45c | 799.76$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.4 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Nuggets | 47c | 771.5$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.57 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Nuggets | 48c | 771.35$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.35 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Nuggets | 48c | 770.55$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.24 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Spurs | 47c | 768.73$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.51 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Spurs | 43c | 663.67$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.16 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Nuggets | 51c | 607.59$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.46 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Nuggets | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea7…90fabacked Spurs | 51c | 568$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ae…74f1backed Spurs | 51c | 546$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d5…d4d3backed Nuggets | 50c | 534.05$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.07 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Nuggets | 57c | 519.4$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.5 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Nuggets | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Spurs | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Spurs | 47c | 460$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.01 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Nuggets | 35c | 423.27$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.13 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Spurs | 51c | 408.6$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.51 | 361 | 54.8%198 W · 163 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Nuggets | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Spurs | 41c | 391$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.31 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Spurs | 48c | 383.95$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.48 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb5…cabdbacked Nuggets | 58c | 345.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.77 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Spurs | 49c | 342.11$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.36 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Spurs | 48c | 342$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.16 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Spurs | 42c | 340.44$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.99 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Spurs | 50c | 330$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs | 45c | 314.52$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.95 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs | 46c | 308.05$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.13 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Spurs | 47c | 300.37$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.54 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Spurs | 43c | 300.29$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.13 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Spurs | 43c | 298.08$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.59 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…4610backed Spurs | 52c | 290.12$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.57 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Spurs | 52c | 288.8$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Spurs | 41c | 280.81$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.13 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…61fdbacked Spurs | 40c | 262.5$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Spurs | 43c | 252.53$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.16 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Spurs | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…adafbacked Nuggets | 42c | 235.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.65 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Spurs | 47c | 225.53$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Nuggets | 56c | 216.52$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.27 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Nuggets | 54c | 208.98$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.98 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Nuggets | 49c | 204.37$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.05 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nuggets | 58c | 204.17$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.99 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Spurs | 40c | 204$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs | 45c | 202.49$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Nuggets | 50c | 200.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.4 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Spurs | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Spurs | 41c | 190$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.7 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Nuggets | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Spurs | 48c | 173.85$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.79 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | +16.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed Nuggets | 48c | 161.04$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.74 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe350…61f0backed Nuggets | 49c | 160.97$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.1 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Spurs | 43c | 160.96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.62 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed Spurs | 42c | 148.83$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Spurs | 43c | 145.51$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.27 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Spurs | 43c | 138.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Spurs | 42c | 129.56$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.42 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Nuggets | 40c | 124.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.59 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Christian Braun: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Keldon Johnson: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. SpursNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 238.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 239.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 240.5Over won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.