NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x563cd57a43f8a88eb48530580c7f85cc09d590609a4469ab6499d26094ce89a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Spurs, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,218 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Nuggets | 62c | 27,881$17,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,601.59 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 39c | 17,602$6,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,925.32 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Nuggets | 56c | 11,844$6,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,235.17 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs | 45c | 8,497$3,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,817.82 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Nuggets | 56c | 6,976$3,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,069.47 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 39c | 5,689$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.14 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs | 41c | 4,899$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.92 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 58c | 4,718$2,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.83 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 44c | 3,116$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.78 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b36…cf05backed Spurs | 47c | 2,958$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Spurs | 41c | 2,900$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1011…14b7backed Nuggets | 53c | 2,892$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…6cb1backed Nuggets | 53c | 2,851$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50d7…df3dbacked Spurs | 47c | 2,803$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d21…c777backed Nuggets | 53c | 2,794$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…2f14backed Spurs | 47c | 2,764$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…deafbacked Nuggets | 53c | 2,713$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Spurs | 44c | 2,626$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.04 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1c…cddabacked Spurs | 47c | 2,557$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d95…b2f0backed Spurs | 47c | 2,549$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…9912backed Spurs | 47c | 2,538$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e2…a6b5backed Nuggets | 53c | 2,468$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…0914backed Nuggets | 53c | 2,451$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Spurs | 37c | 2,000$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.69 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Nuggets | 60c | 1,901$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.34 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Spurs | 41c | 1,752$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.72 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Spurs | 71c | 1,411$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Nuggets | 29c | 1,248$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.24 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Nuggets | 62c | 1,189$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.76 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Spurs | 44c | 1,101$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Spurs | 44c | 1,100$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Spurs | 44c | 1,100$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Spurs | 43c | 1,100$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Spurs | 36c | 829.98$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.79 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Spurs | 44c | 801.68$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.62 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6734…2e18backed Nuggets | 64c | 779.5$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.5 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Spurs | 41c | 749.96$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.35 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Nuggets | 56c | 653.95$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.39 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Spurs | 46c | 625.88$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.16 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Nuggets | 47c | 552.8$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.8 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Spurs | 44c | 551.26$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.31 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Spurs | 44c | 550$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…ee95backed Spurs | 44c | 545.45$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Nuggets | 62c | 499.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Spurs | 51c | 499$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.49 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Nuggets | 49c | 493.44$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.1 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Spurs | 38c | 471.93$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.42 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Spurs | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca8…ddddbacked Nuggets | 53c | 420.74$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.74 | 278 | 46.8%130 W · 148 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed Nuggets | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Spurs | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Nuggets | 30c | 399.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Spurs | 37c | 393.54$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.61 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs | 45c | 373.38$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.1 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs | 38c | 371.57$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.19 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Spurs | 43c | 330$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.9 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Spurs | 44c | 324.22$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.28 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nuggets | 61c | 323.68$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.12 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Spurs | 44c | 292.01$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.48 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5b…e58abacked Nuggets | 57c | 272.16$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.92 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0707…310abacked Spurs | 38c | 263.26$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.98 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Spurs | 35c | 262.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.97 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Nuggets | 33c | 254.38$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.66 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Nuggets | 59c | 241.92$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Spurs | 38c | 237.57$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.64 | 487 | 39.8%194 W · 293 L | -21.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Nuggets | 63c | 226.68$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…d1c9backed Nuggets | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +7.0wins | +0.25per pick | 54cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Spurs | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Spurs | 38c | 184$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…1f45backed Spurs | 51c | 183.33$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.32 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Spurs | 37c | 180.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.97 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Nuggets | 51c | 176.05$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.05 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…4ab2backed Nuggets | 58c | 174.1$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.12 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Nuggets | 30c | 170$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Spurs | 43c | 165$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Nuggets | 61c | 163.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.02 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Nuggets | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -7.8wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Nuggets | 64c | 160$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691f…5e69backed Nuggets | 64c | 157$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.52 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Spurs | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…b331backed Nuggets | 62c | 145.16$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 398 | 64.3%256 W · 142 L | +33.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Nuggets | 35c | 141.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.63 | 298 | 44%131 W · 167 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Spurs | 39c | 128.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Spurs | 38c | 128.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 233 | 49.4%115 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Spurs | 38c | 117.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Spurs | 42c | 116.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked Nuggets | 55c | 115.07$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.07 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Spurs | 39c | 112.74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b0…a9e6backed Spurs | 42c | 107.28$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Nuggets | 64c | 103.13$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…5f6cbacked Spurs | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Nuggets | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Spurs | 43c | 99.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Spurs | 43c | 96.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Nuggets | 53c | 93.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 1,084 | 42.4%460 W · 624 L | -48.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…7f4abacked Nuggets | 62c | 88.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Spurs | 48c | 85.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Spurs | 52c | 83.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Spurs | 49c | 81.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Spurs | 66c | 81.53$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Christian Braun: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Keldon Johnson: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. SpursNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 238.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 239.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 240.5Over won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.