NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7d6fcfd3937f74def48d5a8c048ab64d7c56c3dfa8dc5e96c58804dff1c4b87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Spurs, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,162,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,162,571 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 331 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Spurs | 46c | 215,865$98,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,702.45 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Spurs | 45c | 112,396$50,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,836.77 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Nuggets | 54c | 78,734$42,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,217.66 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nuggets | 54c | 61,210$33,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,169.21 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets | 54c | 60,639$32,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,860.21 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Nuggets | 55c | 54,015$29,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,052.85 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Spurs | 45c | 53,051$23,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,872.94 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Nuggets | 55c | 44,095$24,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,881.17 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Spurs | 50c | 42,991$21,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,709.03 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Nuggets | 55c | 35,851$19,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,136.35 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Nuggets | 53c | 34,040$17,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,061.05 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…f73cbacked Nuggets | 55c | 31,279$17,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,075.8 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Nuggets | 51c | 29,339$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,339.2 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 55c | 26,432$14,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,894.86 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Spurs | 49c | 24,555$12,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,111.16 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Spurs | 46c | 22,684$10,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,434.66 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Nuggets | 54c | 22,303$12,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,261.12 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Nuggets | 54c | 21,621$11,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,945.78 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Spurs | 44c | 20,024$8,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,809.06 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Nuggets | 53c | 15,397$8,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,236.59 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Spurs | 44c | 11,204$4,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,929.89 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051f…efd3backed Nuggets | 49c | 10,563$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,363.26 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Nuggets | 56c | 10,171$5,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,472.57 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Nuggets | 56c | 9,893$5,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,352.92 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2148…3f30backed Nuggets | 49c | 8,164$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,163.76 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…fa92backed Nuggets | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000.03 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Spurs | 45c | 7,988$3,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,578.04 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nuggets | 55c | 5,977$3,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.75 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Spurs | 48c | 5,940$2,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,864.11 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Nuggets | 50c | 5,868$2,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,933.86 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Nuggets | 56c | 5,629$3,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,477.77 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…a339backed Nuggets | 54c | 5,506$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,505.42 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Nuggets | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Nuggets | 53c | 4,826$2,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268.45 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 56c | 4,816$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135.96 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Nuggets | 38c | 4,708$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900.74 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Nuggets | 49c | 4,678$2,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,372.61 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Nuggets | 54c | 4,491$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.75 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Spurs | 47c | 4,011$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.25 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Spurs | 50c | 3,800$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs | 48c | 3,781$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.8 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Nuggets | 55c | 3,639$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.3 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Nuggets | 54c | 3,333$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.18 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Spurs | 48c | 3,101$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.69 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 51c | 3,021$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.17 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Nuggets | 50c | 2,945$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.14 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Nuggets | 50c | 2,890$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.97 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 55c | 2,821$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.08 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Spurs | 45c | 2,766$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.23 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Nuggets | 54c | 2,738$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.98 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Nuggets | 56c | 2,644$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.26 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0707…310abacked Nuggets | 32c | 2,586$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.86 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd29…a74abacked Spurs | 54c | 2,580$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.83 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Nuggets | 54c | 2,578$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.1 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Nuggets | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Spurs | 44c | 2,500$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.23 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Spurs | 48c | 2,484$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.75 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Nuggets | 55c | 2,300$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Spurs | 50c | 2,264$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Spurs | 46c | 2,045$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.88 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Spurs | 46c | 2,024$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.6 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Nuggets | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Spurs | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Spurs | 47c | 1,840$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.69 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Nuggets | 54c | 1,769$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.15 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Spurs | 47c | 1,705$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e9…4044backed Nuggets | 55c | 1,660$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.2 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Nuggets | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Spurs | 43c | 1,500$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Spurs | 46c | 1,500$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.5 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,448$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.15 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Spurs | 56c | 1,437$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…a665backed Spurs | 62c | 1,420$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd710…cf6fbacked Spurs | 49c | 1,404$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.09 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Nuggets | 55c | 1,335$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.55 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Spurs | 51c | 1,333$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nuggets | 55c | 1,319$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.63 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 50c | 1,264$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.09 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Nuggets | 54c | 1,247$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.66 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Nuggets | 54c | 1,204$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.69 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Spurs | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 133 | 39.1%52 W · 81 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,156$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.85 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…03fabacked Nuggets | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.15 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Spurs | 46c | 1,100$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Spurs | 46c | 1,095$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.31 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Spurs | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.4 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Nuggets | 54c | 925.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.92 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spurs | 52c | 901.45$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.43 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Spurs | 44c | 847$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.83 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Spurs | 46c | 822.56$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.44 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Nuggets | 51c | 820.05$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.37 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Nuggets | 44c | 816.4$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.35 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Nuggets | 45c | 816$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.8 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed Spurs | 48c | 734.96$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 140 | 59.3%83 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Spurs | 44c | 700.33$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.15 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Nuggets | 55c | 696.29$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.81 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Nuggets | 54c | 638.28$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.37 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Christian Braun: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Keldon Johnson: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. SpursNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 238.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 239.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 240.5Over won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.