TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7753…cf56

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
185
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Dota2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT3033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+107.4%+$98.29
UC Davis Aggies vs. Cal State Fullerton Titansbacked UC Davis Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.13
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Utah Tech Trailblazersbacked Utah Tech Trailblazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$12.73
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.48
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.39
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas A&M Aggiesbacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.77
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas A&M Aggies: O/U 161.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.71
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. North Texas Mean Greenbacked North Texas Mean Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$22.79
Clemson Tigers vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.75
Georgetown Hoyas vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.94
Clemson Tigers vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.21
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppersbacked Kennesaw State Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$32.49
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Grand Canyon Antelopesbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$21.98
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Davidson Wildcatsbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.81
California-San Diego Tritons vs. CSUN Matadorsbacked California-San Diego Tritons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.56
Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. UT Arlington Mavericksbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Southern Jaguarsbacked Southern Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+51.6%+$17.62
BYU Cougars vs. Houston Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.93
South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. Norfolk State Spartansbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+169.9%+$20.55
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.71
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.21
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
North Carolina A&T Aggies vs. William & Mary Tribe (W)backed William & Mary Tribe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.35
San Jose State Spartans vs. Boise State Broncosbacked San Jose State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+214.8%+$59.33
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hersonissos 2: Maxim Mrva vs Toby Samuelbacked Toby Samuel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$19.22
Kigali 2: Marco Trungelliti vs Zdenek Kolarbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$5.6
Kigali 2: Marco Cecchinato vs Arthur Geabacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$19.83
Phoenix: Nuno Borges vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+94.6%+$21.65
BNP Paribas Open: Elena Rybakina vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.19
Phoenix: Ethan Quinn vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.82
Santiago: Adolfo Vallejo vs Thiago Monteirobacked Thiago Monteiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+114.6%+$17.99
Austin: Lanlana Tararudee vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Lanlana Tararudee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$17.75
BNP Paribas Open: Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.78
Cap Cana: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Mackenzie McDonaldbacked Mackenzie McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.6
Cap Cana: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Valentin Royerbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$9.52
BNP Paribas Open: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.95
BNP Paribas Open: Elina Svitolina vs Iga Swiatekbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$88.56
BNP Paribas Open: Arthur Fils vs Alexander Zverevbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.07
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria Mbokobacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.54
Cherbourg: Remy Bertola vs August Holmgrenbacked Remy Bertola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$7.33
Cherbourg: Filippo Romano vs Patrick Bradybacked Patrick Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.3
Antalya 3: Veronika Erjavec vs Teodora Kostovicbacked Teodora Kostovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.02
Kigali 2: Stefano Napolitano vs Maximilian Neuchristbacked Maximilian Neuchrist · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.73
Hersonissos 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Petr Nesterovbacked Petr Nesterov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+169.2%+$34.23
Antalya 3: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$47.46
Antalya 3: Alina Charaeva vs Elina Avanesyanbacked Alina Charaeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Phoenix: Ethan Quinn vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.13
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draperbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.49
Phoenix: Mitchell Krueger vs Blaise Bicknellbacked Blaise Bicknell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+156.2%+$26.22
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2528%7 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+123%+$18.85
Will Club Puebla win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$8.35
Will Club Puebla vs. Club Necaxa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$9.71
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$25.17
Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Lanús end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Grêmio FBPA vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.79
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.16
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.63
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.23
Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.89
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.43
São Paulo FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+94.3%+$11.45
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.61
CR Vasco da Gama vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
CR Vasco da Gama vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.95
Clube do Remo vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.31
Clube do Remo vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.84
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.2
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.57
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.87
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+147.6%+$35.21
CA Mineiro vs. SC Internacional: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+262.2%+$31.5
CA Mineiro vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.21
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.65
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.06
Spread: Trail Blazers (-15.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.72
Jazz vs. Trail Blazersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.81
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$21.28
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Bulls vs. Lakersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.73
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+98.3%+$42.74
Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+96.7%+$12.58
Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$47.69
Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.48
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$149.62
Celtics vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.63
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$394.2
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.24
Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.9
Suns vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.01
Spread: Clippers (-2.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+60.9%+$11.35
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
All 19 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+86.2%+$12.61
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs OG (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+129.4%+$40.51
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.52
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.94
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs OG (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Dbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.65
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs OG (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Dbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.28
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Nexus (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Dbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.27
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.58
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs HOTU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Playoffsbacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.42
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$18.49
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+226.7%+$49.53
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs The Last Resort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Cbacked The Last Resort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+101.1%+$47.85
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs The Last Resort - Map 2 Winnerbacked The Last Resort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.21
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs The Last Resort - Map 1 Winnerbacked The Last Resort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+113.5%+$63.48
All 14 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-55.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$17.5
Lille OSC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$6.5
Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+71%+$8.04
Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.12
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.36
VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.76
Will Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.07
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.42
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+70.7%+$20.51
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.34
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.33
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.48
Will AZ win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
All 14 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.97
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
SV Werder Bremen vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$17.61
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+77.6%+$13.94
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+152.2%+$30.54
Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. SC Paderborn 07 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+241.3%+$41.62
Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+135.3%+$17.25
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick10cpaid+137.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.52
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.27
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.84
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.62
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.67
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.78
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+1,476.3%+$171.49
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+460.4%+$72.42
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+44.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88%+$46.86
Jiangsu Dragons vs. Nanjing Monkey Kingbacked Nanjing Monkey King · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+91.7%+$9.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+97.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Henan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+167.6%+$23.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.09
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$9.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+33%+$6.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.