Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20f489c4fc8fa12a6f41cdae20f74221bd9eaa49e7348d3d421a5d9edf7a4683
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,237 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 11c | 3,420$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,051.76 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 16c | 3,283$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.45 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 2,441$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.62 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 26c | 2,331$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.62 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 24c | 1,007$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.08 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 11c | 938$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.75 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 12c | 799.97$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.98 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 49c | 767.57$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.61 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 14c | 595.65$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.26 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 62 | 82.3%51 W · 11 L | +11.4wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8577…199abacked Yes | 20c | 500$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +158.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x05f8…d87fbacked Yes | 18c | 500$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.34 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.9wins | +0.38per pick | 47cpaid | +154.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…a2d6backed Yes | 8c | 500$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.97 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +6.2wins | +0.48per pick | 45cpaid | +250.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…04b5backed Yes | 40c | 500$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.84 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.7wins | +0.38per pick | 49cpaid | +146.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +9.5wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +271.1%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +74%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 12c | 399.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.75 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 8c | 306.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…875cbacked Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb7…f69ebacked Yes | 14c | 221.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 24c | 206.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.91 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 58c | 198.97$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.93 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 12c | 172$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.36 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 16c | 162.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 17c | 150$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked No | 8c | 138.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x829e…2c6dbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 80c | 102.61$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.93 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Yes | 16c | 101.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 21c | 59.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 59c | 40.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 48c | 39.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 75c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…cf56backed No | 61c | 22.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will FC Midtjylland vs. FC Nordsjælland end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.