Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Midtjylland vs. FC Nordsjælland end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3727b4f42f1289098a2cec938d728aaabdbf28a7e59a0070e37dd5e8168b5a53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,300 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc01b…7718backed Yes | 39c | 9,547$3,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,698.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 6,549$4,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,336.6 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 4,338$3,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.46 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 20c | 3,284$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.21 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Yes | 20c | 3,150$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 51c | 2,588$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.85 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 80c | 2,192$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.72 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 33c | 2,059$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.59 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +12.8wins | +0.16per pick | 16cpaid | +246%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 1,481$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.12 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 38c | 582.32$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.96 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8577…199abacked No | 35c | 500$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.95 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +158.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…a2d6backed No | 27c | 500$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.55 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +6.2wins | +0.48per pick | 45cpaid | +250.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked No | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.48 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +9.5wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +271.1%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked No | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +74%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 65c | 357.31$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.14 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 70c | 331.9$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.26 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…3914backed No | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 50c | 189.82$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.34 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 75c | 185$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.27 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7311…7bd6backed No | 73c | 134.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 18c | 123.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 118.31$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 54c | 113.6$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5142…ee20backed No | 73c | 89.77$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes | 51c | 84.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -10.6wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Yes | 73c | 72.84$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 57c | 57.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Yes | 37c | 54.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 40c | 47.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…04b5backed No | 50c | 47.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.7wins | +0.38per pick | 49cpaid | +146.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 50c | 45.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…e658backed Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed Yes | 74c | 30.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 78c | 26.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe07a…0e43backed Yes | 54c | 24.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c8…e944backed No | 61c | 23.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked No | 71c | 22.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fda…6c62backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked No | 72c | 13.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Midtjylland vs. FC Nordsjælland end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-15?No won
- Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-03-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.