TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x05f8…d87f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: La Liga, grading 65 out of 100 (+0.13 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 65 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-54.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Naz Reid: Points O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$201
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 9.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$115
Kam Jones: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$330
Jalen Smith: Points O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$201
Joel Embiid: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+222.9%+$1,337.35
Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+212.7%+$638.17
Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$330
Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$302
All 14 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.9wins+0.38per pick47cpaid+154.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Gaziantep FK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$344.67
Fredrikstad FK vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Aalesunds FK vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+463.9%+$411.34
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Samsunspor: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$7.59
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Will Aarhus GF vs. Odense BK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+100%+$130
Kayserispor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+61.9%+$73.67
Will FC Volendam win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+845.9%+$447.14
Will PEC Zwolle vs. FC Volendam end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+244.1%+$354.7
PEC Zwolle vs. FC Volendam: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+194.1%+$330
Hibernian FC vs. Dundee United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+25%+$3.78
FC Volendam vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25%+$100
All 13 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+96.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Asian League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Anyang end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+308.2%+$45.3
Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$502.02
Will FC Seoul vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$542Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$500.16
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,040
Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.03
Will Avispa Fukuoka vs. Gamba Ōsaka end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.61
Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+625.8%+$318.16
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gwangju FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+195.9%+$78.12
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.5
Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$255
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$22.75
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$380
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+25%+$6
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1190.9%10 W · 1 L+4.7wins+0.43per pick48cpaid+126%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$153.5
Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.66
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Córdoba CF vs. FC Andorra: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+46.4%+$6.91
SD Eibar vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$66.36
Cádiz CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+113.2%+$11.7
AD Ceuta FC vs. Granada CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+102%+$24.74
Will Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+163.2%+$310
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+418%+$106.79
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+100%+$250
Will Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+316.7%+$380
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.84
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$43.55
Wrexham AFC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$34.22
Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$237.5
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+25%+$100
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+25%+$100
Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+59.7%+$13.55
Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$106.8
Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+36.8%+$4.3
Leicester City FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+25%+$15.04
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT8100%8 W · 0 L+4.3wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+228.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+45.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick41cpaid+107.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+75%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$88.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wyoming Cowboys vs. Boise State Broncosbacked Boise State Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+28.2%+$14.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+25%+$6
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs ODDIK (+1.5)backed ODDIK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South Africa vs. Panama end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.