Asian League · resolved market
Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x208f8e9d6c63573a1e4a9624223e871b80dfa52d3f316d9f2762d1fd2ec71656
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3102…187cbacked No | 59c | 3,600$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5f…7a4ebacked Yes | 42c | 2,185$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 48c | 1,659$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.95 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked No | 51c | 1,594$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.24 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 63c | 1,541$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.68 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd932…4164backed No | 22c | 1,175$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 47c | 1,161$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.88 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f8…d87fbacked No | 52c | 965.42$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.02 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 39c | 631.18$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.02 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 61c | 609.79$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.97 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 66c | 505$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.35 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 58c | 432.97$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.12 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 77c | 391.77$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.77 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 49c | 358.14$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.06 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 55c | 319.18$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.97 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa457…5a49backed No | 52c | 221.73$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 48c | 212.24$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.36 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 41c | 212$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.08 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 33c | 205$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.35 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 54c | 204.58$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.36 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed No | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 63c | 199.92$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 176.6$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.92 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Yes | 39c | 161$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.68 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 35c | 160.74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.86 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 25c | 156.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 38c | 131.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.1 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 62c | 103.65$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 51c | 101.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 22c | 101$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 61c | 99.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 38c | 96.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.11 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 68c | 95.16$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 38c | 92.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.39 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 22c | 90.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 44c | 89.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 35c | 87.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed No | 33c | 83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 26c | 79.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 38c | 78.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked Yes | 68c | 76.88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 35c | 76.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.51 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 60c | 66.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 60c | 66.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 64c | 65.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Yes | 39c | 61.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Yes | 48c | 58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes | 38c | 55.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 36c | 55.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 34c | 50.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 34c | 41.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 62c | 40.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…551ebacked Yes | 30c | 36.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 62c | 34.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 62c | 34.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 62c | 34.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 62c | 34.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 62c | 34.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 62c | 34.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 62c | 34.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 41c | 31.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…b8e0backed Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 60c | 29.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 61c | 29.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 67c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 66c | 20.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 64c | 19.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 57c | 19.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e5…00aabacked Yes | 74c | 18.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 66c | 15.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will Gwangju FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995 end in a draw?No won
- Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.