Asian League · resolved market
Will Gwangju FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f15f21e84754358907358c7ccb48c90e005a826ad7b33f6fd110ccc61d3481b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 45c | 2,222$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.15 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 810.91$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.93 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 19c | 460$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 78c | 427.21$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.1 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 54c | 333$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.73 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 51c | 317.67$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 58c | 269.04$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.05 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7eb…7c90backed Yes | 53c | 218.19$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 47c | 212.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 59c | 210.86$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.08 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked No | 65c | 190$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 40c | 189.7$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.57 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 71c | 166.01$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.39 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 33c | 164.02$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 21c | 145.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…551ebacked Yes | 26c | 105$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 67c | 103.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 32c | 102.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 73c | 100.22$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 50c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe97b…5ecdbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -43%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 48c | 91.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 77c | 87.03$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 80.29$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 59c | 70.44$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 59c | 70.44$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 59c | 70.44$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 59c | 70.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 59c | 70.03$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 59c | 70.03$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked No | 59c | 70.03$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 59c | 70.03$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 59c | 70.03$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 59c | 70.03$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 59c | 70.03$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 59c | 70.03$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 58c | 67.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked No | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8577…199abacked Yes | 41c | 62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 75c | 51.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 60c | 49.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 50c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +7.3wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 61c | 41.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 66c | 29.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 55c | 27.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 70c | 26.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…ed10backed No | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 66c | 21.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe909…465ebacked No | 56c | 19.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 61c | 19.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 58c | 18.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gwangju FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995 end in a draw?this page
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
- Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.