TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,931
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,730

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,931 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No74c11,949$8,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,81996942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No79c10,661$8,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,395.7668750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No79c10,059$7,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,946.65736.8%21 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes21c7,353$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,807.2998544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes25c6,877$1,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,141.282,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No70c4,637$3,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,259.491,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x598e…2305backed No79c2,552$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,016.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick80cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes22c2,304$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.373622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a9c…c9aebacked No78c2,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.973148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2909…ba8bbacked Yes22c1,500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1701100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4e…5104backed Yes20c1,430$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.851353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb207…c751backed No79c1,290$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.1785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick74cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed No79c1,076$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.21060%6 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes21c1,000$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79022237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No77c999.99$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7707055.7%39 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No52c996.05$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.1249137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes28c851.94$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.677830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9de0…dacebacked No9c802.11$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.11130%0 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes23c800$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61624939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes32c600$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.053542.9%15 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Yes33c599.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.533444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No77c575.65$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.2744753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes20c560$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44816032.5%52 W · 108 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Yes21c556.99$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.024231%13 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdf7…6f71backed Yes22c552$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes21c520$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.82941.4%12 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes36c517.2$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.1949850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes21c500.04$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.0340549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x602e…e237backed Yes32c500$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.31580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+60.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3303773%27 W · 10 L+7.4wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+44.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xceb7…391ebacked Yes34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3301573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8577…199abacked Yes34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick44cpaid+53.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05f8…d87fbacked Yes34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+45.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x880b…a2d6backed Yes33c500$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.05666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+45.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec82…04b5backed Yes34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+58.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa99a…388ebacked Yes33c500$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.351258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+25.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Yes34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3301861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xabf9…e26bbacked Yes22c500$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3901100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8479…37f8backed Yes20c493.95$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.162536%9 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca66…2305backed Yes35c470.23$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.651520%3 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No79c420$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.82347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x956a…c48ebacked Yes29c388.77$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+247.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No14c388$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1820033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed No79c379.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004575.6%34 W · 11 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes21c300$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23721445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes21c300$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23726046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes25c299.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.8816526.1%43 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes22c286.14$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.244845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes21c286$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.9441943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b4…f6d1backed Yes35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.712161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+48.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7146…cc73backed Yes35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.712544%11 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.712524%6 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f18…2d79backed Yes36c279.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.78540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9d…527bbacked Yes32c252.53$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.455855.2%32 W · 26 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes21c233.33$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.336936.2%25 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes21c230$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.722348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82c1…c2c6backed No79c207.59$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes21c200.25$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.2511619%22 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0abd…7207backed No15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+257.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No74c176$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.0252748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No77c146.05$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4628556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdc…8e06backed Yes35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.86650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b26…cfc5backed Yes35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+44.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8675…e850backed Yes23c136.56$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.432231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes10c130$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9720431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed No79c126.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-34.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes32c123.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.929124.2%22 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Yes36c116.67$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.676358.7%37 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Yes35c114.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.293839.5%15 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ead…d18fbacked Yes19c105.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.26540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+74.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Yes35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655145.1%23 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7826747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe85f…7f69backed Yes21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794032.5%13 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796848.5%33 W · 35 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+23.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Yes21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795339.6%21 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1257…f4d2backed No15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid+177.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Yes35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652924.1%7 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51d2…1462backed Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+38.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b35…12b3backed Yes22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785440.7%22 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc67b…dc73backed Yes35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ef8…1583backed Yes22c91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.98862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick27cpaid+156.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Yes22c90.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.914362.8%27 W · 16 L+8.0wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes22c90.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.913417.6%6 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a30…b094backed Yes22c90.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.911637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cd9…96f0backed Yes33c81.97$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.97616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-49.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Yes22c81.82$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8211955.5%66 W · 53 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+25.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb32e…a46abacked Yes20c80$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ad…5692backed Yes33c75$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.25728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes34c73.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2134643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked No80c68.27$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.621414.3%2 W · 12 L-4.8wins-0.34per pick48cpaid-77.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x31d0…9b7dbacked Yes22c68.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.181118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x207f…793bbacked Yes30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.67475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+70.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No74c65.56$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7831958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x75ea…1616backed No79c64.56$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes22c64.06$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.061050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+35.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked No79c63.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504872.9%35 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No77c60$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.211953.8%64 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63aa…c5c8backed Yes35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.14666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+96.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab08…37fabacked Yes35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.141258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes28c52.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9416219.1%31 W · 131 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.