TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will SS Lazio win on 2026-02-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$296,314
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$323,556

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $296,314 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x88d1…18dabacked No66c15,128$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,128.39850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c12,695$9,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,061.522,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8768…8b58backed Yes10c11,662$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.23450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+48.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No34c11,387$3,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,542.211,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e1a…d5a3backed Yes0c11,343$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.343324.2%8 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb986…aae0backed Yes11c10,980$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked Yes76c8,308$6,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,313.99650%3 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes35c7,129$2,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,513.4196942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes10c6,100$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61013517%23 W · 112 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes67c4,769$3,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,217.2934643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes10c4,759$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.1848144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No35c4,046$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,640.4849850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes41c3,849$1,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.5549137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes10c3,684$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.3516046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df9…e49ebacked Yes36c3,500$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26030%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes10c3,327$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.7627737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked No60c3,300$1,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.991172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed Yes10c2,913$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.146323.8%15 W · 48 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-34.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7249…9c6cbacked Yes79c2,896$2,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,274.221250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes29c2,642$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.8420431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c35…20c0backed Yes12c2,343$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.14520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-74.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes10c2,200$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2309054.4%49 W · 41 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x59db…1d13backed No57c2,166$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.942055%11 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88c7…9012backed No65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7003100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x07eb…95a8backed Yes10c1,840$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18430%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes12c1,700$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2044242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes71c1,693$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204.6720033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No39c1,500$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91511837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a89…196fbacked Yes67c1,466$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.6862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78bf…7300backed Yes3c1,425$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.251118.2%2 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick2cpaid+1,048.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x160f…7c89backed Yes70c1,364$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f18…2d79backed Yes70c1,253$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.42540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c2e…9e01backed Yes11c1,240$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.271060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes37c1,122$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.713946%64 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9de0…dacebacked Yes7c1,000$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66130%0 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfbb…55b0backed Yes71c979.77$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.56837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick70cpaid-47.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed No9c918.87$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.983141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes11c910$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.15728.1%16 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa79…f645backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003030%9 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No43c823.38$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.39576.8%73 W · 22 L+20.8wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+49.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No16c750$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.516819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Yes10c750$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7570%0 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0176…ff71backed No22c750$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+52.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Yes77c728.95$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.293759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed No65c707$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.8418858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed Yes9c706.05$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.547332.9%24 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cc4…f310backed Yes58c699.99$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.1757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes42c670.5$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.315967.8%40 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes42c659.38$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.529862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked No65c615$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.918357.8%48 W · 35 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes12c605.07$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.615836.2%21 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f6…8906backed Yes10c600$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+42.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Yes18c598.06$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9210039%39 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes48c564.5$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.1546742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes11c563.64$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603417.6%6 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Yes11c550$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.52138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed Yes11c519.74$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.17147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick24cpaid-75.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Yes10c510.58$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.065431.5%17 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.623773%27 W · 10 L+7.4wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+44.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xceb7…391ebacked No41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2951573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8577…199abacked No41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick44cpaid+53.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05f8…d87fbacked No41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+45.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x880b…a2d6backed No41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+45.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec82…04b5backed No40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.05875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+58.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa99a…388ebacked No41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2951258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+25.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf1e…5d9bbacked No41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2951861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed No77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1156768.7%46 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ba…7f3cbacked No65c499.66$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.88425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes10c459.96$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462941.4%12 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes11c447.02$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.176731.3%21 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes47c426.3$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003542.9%15 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a9c…c9aebacked No39c422.58$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.583148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes70c400$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28010757%61 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8acc…b597backed Yes77c400$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8675…e850backed Yes12c398.04$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.292231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed No67c367.77$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.53661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed No33c365.56$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.934546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x843c…529ebacked No56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.141070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes41c353.52$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.4731738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Yes68c352$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.452250%11 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x359d…d7ebbacked Yes12c333.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a0a…720dbacked Yes12c333.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401030%3 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+34.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4355…c5d4backed Yes70c300.48$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No34c293$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.7511964.7%77 W · 42 L+15.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+35.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Yes60c290$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.243154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b1d…820cbacked Yes70c285.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd7d…4b2fbacked Yes11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dec…be12backed Yes10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+90.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8024…9ee8backed Yes12c241.67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c2c…90d4backed No42c240$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.24057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes11c229.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512134.7%42 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f41…a978backed Yes69c220.33$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc22c…e8e9backed Yes70c216.17$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.32666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes40c210.69$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.237135.2%25 W · 46 L-7.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-39.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked Yes10c207.53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.757055.7%39 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011619%22 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49b8…1417backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b26…cfc5backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+44.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes43c189.53$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4622373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.