Premier League · resolved market
Leicester City FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d2e66f129f05ef6e8ff93c1900a04c8402fd7abb267d49db2df3a8c4024144a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 9,466$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.27 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Over | 72c | 2,500$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 74c | 1,546$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.84 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Under | 48c | 1,295$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.04 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 73c | 1,284$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.37 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 28c | 1,050$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.75 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +10.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8577…199abacked Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +5.0wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +127.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…a2d6backed Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 59cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…04b5backed Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 25 | 92%23 W · 2 L | +8.7wins | +0.35per pick | 57cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +43%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 68c | 483.97$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.17 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +10.8wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 54c | 472.22$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.22 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…1846backed Over | 74c | 134.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Over | 73c | 106.16$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 74c | 92.15$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 37c | 80.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05f8…d87fbacked Over | 80c | 75.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 41c | 68.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 33c | 45.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x966a…400ebacked Over | 53c | 40.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…c63ebacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 61c | 35.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…c577backed Over | 73c | 30.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -8.4wins | -0.19per pick | 72cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 70c | 26.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 158 | 66.5%105 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…5557backed Over | 74c | 22.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Over | 57c | 21.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 69c | 16.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leicester City FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Leicester City FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Leicester City FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Leicester City FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Leicester City FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.