Premier League · resolved market
Leicester City FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f8ba9963d110e644daa4f7730a8a3be7f5362ac11f750f9503ea4990ad96e2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 8,554$6,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.98 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 22c | 7,683$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.35 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 15c | 660$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 24c | 654.08$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.98 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +10.8wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 25c | 566$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.5 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Under | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 36c | 194.46$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 27c | 146.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab8…b5a6backed Under | 75c | 132$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Over | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 34c | 85.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb231…0363backed Over | 21c | 56.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 64c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 43c | 48.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 38c | 46.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf6…c75bbacked Over | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…876dbacked Under | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 75c | 34.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed Under | 75c | 26.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…c258backed Under | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a36…74b8backed Under | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leicester City FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Leicester City FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Leicester City FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Leicester City FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Leicester City FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.