TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Leicester City FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,183
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,389

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,183 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c12,636$5,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,954.46,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over58c11,569$6,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,758.474,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under53c1,935$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.31,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Under53c1,496$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.059949.5%49 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over47c1,112$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.952,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c1,010$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.482,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over47c930.72$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.531,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c822.31$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.531,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over28c594.6$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.496462.5%40 W · 24 L+10.8wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+44.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over68c441.18$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006437.5%24 W · 40 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under64c385.89$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.061,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over57c326.75$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.1931747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0666…d31abacked Over65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002548%12 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43de…d169backed Over33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over68c291.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under52c200.4$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.391,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.316350.8%32 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over58c173$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3410252.9%54 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Over34c166.61$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6527227.9%76 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over48c161.49$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5123435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over64c158.81$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.594341.9%18 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Under55c154.64$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.648161.7%50 W · 31 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Over68c151.1$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.133748.6%18 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6b4…e861backed Over66c150$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under52c146.02$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0950644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under56c144.11$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.418953.9%48 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Over76c140.07$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.933063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a39…031abacked Over77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over47c105.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7721049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022244.1%98 W · 124 L+19.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over48c74.88$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5920143.8%88 W · 113 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xafdd…ae76backed Under25c68$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Over50c63.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0712245.1%55 W · 67 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over48c58.64$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8927948%134 W · 145 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c16…630fbacked Over49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.53330.3%10 W · 23 L-7.3wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-41%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over48c49.9$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8933753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Over48c49.21$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6210044%44 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf6…c75bbacked Over49c48.75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8470%0 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0ad1…c06dbacked Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2035134.8%122 W · 229 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Over48c40.47$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.278038.8%31 W · 49 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8616…cfbebacked Under55c39.27$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.67450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over31c38.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6972658.7%426 W · 300 L+48.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over48c37.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2339052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over46c37.42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.341,58953.3%847 W · 742 L+39.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1294…9dbabacked Over52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.67753.2%41 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4680…e592backed Over73c27.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under56c27.02$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8974056.9%421 W · 319 L+46.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Under58c26.28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.048365.1%54 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over77c23.12$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.815866.5%105 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.